Mundt Kenneth A, Dell Linda D, Crawford Lori, Gallagher Alexa E
Department of Health Sciences, Ramboll Environ, Amherst, Massachusetts, USA.
Occup Environ Med. 2017 Oct;74(10):709-716. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2016-104051. Epub 2017 May 10.
To evaluate mortality risks of angiosarcoma of the liver (ASL), primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and other cancers among 9951 men employed between 1942 and 1972 at 35 US vinyl chloride (VC) or polyvinyl chloride plants followed for mortality through 31 December 2013.
SMR and time-dependent Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to evaluate mortality risks by cumulative VC exposure.
Liver cancer mortality was elevated (SMR=2.87, 95% CI 2.40 to 3.40), and ASL and HCC were strongly associated with cumulative VC exposure ≥865 parts per million-years (ppm-years) (ASL: HR=36.3, 95% CI 13.1 to 100.5; and HCC: HR=5.3, 95% CI 1.6 to 17.7 for ≥2271 ppm-years). Excess deaths due to connective and soft tissue cancers (SMR=2.43, 95% CI 1.48 to 3.75), mesothelioma (SMR=2.29, 95% CI 1.18 to 4.00) and explosions (SMR=3.43, 95% CI 1.25 to 7.47) were seen. Mortalities due to melanoma, brain cancer, lung cancer and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma were not increased or associated with VC exposure.
The association between VC and ASL first reported in this cohort 44 years ago persisted and was strongest among workers most highly exposed. VC exposure also was associated with HCC mortality, although it remains possible that misdiagnosis of early ASLs influenced findings.
评估1942年至1972年间受雇于美国35家氯乙烯(VC)或聚氯乙烯工厂的9951名男性中,肝血管肉瘤(ASL)、原发性肝细胞癌(HCC)及其他癌症的死亡风险,随访至2013年12月31日。
采用标准化死亡比(SMR)和时间依赖性Cox比例风险分析,按累积VC暴露量评估死亡风险。
肝癌死亡率升高(SMR = 2.87,95%可信区间2.40至3.40),ASL和HCC与累积VC暴露量≥865百万分率-年(ppm - 年)密切相关(ASL:风险比[HR] = 36.3,95%可信区间13.1至100.5;HCC:对于≥2271 ppm - 年,HR = 5.3,95%可信区间1.6至17.7)。结缔组织和软组织癌(SMR = 2.43,95%可信区间1.48至3.75)、间皮瘤(SMR = 2.29,95%可信区间1.18至4.00)和爆炸(SMR = 3.43,95%可信区间1.25至7.47)导致的死亡人数过多。黑色素瘤、脑癌、肺癌和非霍奇金淋巴瘤的死亡率未升高,也与VC暴露无关。
44年前在该队列中首次报告的VC与ASL之间的关联依然存在,且在暴露程度最高的工人中最为明显。VC暴露也与HCC死亡率相关,不过早期ASL的误诊仍有可能影响研究结果。