Zhang Zhuoni, Song Shige, Wu Xiaogang
a Department of Applied Social Sciences , City University of Hong Kong , Kowloon , Hong Kong.
b Department of Sociology , Queens College, CUNY , Queens , New York , USA.
Biodemography Soc Biol. 2017;63(2):148-166. doi: 10.1080/19485565.2017.1311203.
This article examines the long-term health consequences of China's 1959-1961 famine by comparing people who stayed in Guangdong and endured the famine with people who crossed the border to immigrate to Hong Kong and thus escaped the famine. Based on data from the Hong Kong Panel Study of Social Dynamics (HKPSSD) and the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), we focused on two health indicators-body mass index (BMI) and self-rated health (SRH)-of the cohort born before 1959. Our results show that the stayers who experienced the famine have a lower BMI than the emigrants, and they are likely to have a poor SRH. The difference-in-differences (DID) estimates further show that the famine exposure reduced the odds of giving higher ratings of SRH by 60 and 42 percent, respectively, for the 1923-1940 and 1941-1958 birth cohorts. For the 1923-1940 cohort, famine exposure also reduced their BMI by 1.5 points.
本文通过比较留在广东经历饥荒的人群与越过边境移民到香港从而逃过饥荒的人群，研究了中国1959 - 1961年饥荒对长期健康的影响。基于香港社会动态追踪调查（HKPSSD）和中国家庭追踪调查（CFPS）的数据，我们重点关注了1959年以前出生队列的两个健康指标——体重指数（BMI）和自评健康状况（SRH）。我们的研究结果表明，经历饥荒的留居者的BMI低于移民者，且他们的自评健康状况可能较差。双重差分（DID）估计进一步表明，对于1923 - 1940年和1941 - 1958年出生队列，饥荒暴露分别使给予较高自评健康评分的几率降低了60%和42%。对于1923 - 1940年队列，饥荒暴露还使其BMI降低了1.5个点。
