Zhou Jielin, Zhang Liangjian, Xuan Peng, Fan Yong, Yang Linsheng, Hu Chunqiu, Bo Qingli, Wang Guoxiu, Sheng Jie, Wang Sufang
School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, P. R. China.
PLoS One. 2018 Feb 6;13(2):e0192212. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0192212. eCollection 2018.
Previous epidemiologic studies have reported famine exposure during early life association with overweight or obesity in adulthood, but a consistent perspective has not been established to date.
To determine, by conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis, whether exposure to famine could increase body mass index (BMI) in adult or not, and assess the association between famine exposure and the risk of overweight or obesity.
Published articles were systematically searched (until August, 2017) from PubMed, ScienceDirect, Cochrane, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure. Initially, comparing differences in BMI between exposed and non-exposed groups that weight mean difference (WMD) were used. Subsequently, the effect of famine exposure on overweight or obesity risk, which pooled relative risks (RRs), odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model.
Twenty studies were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis. Compared with non-exposed group, famine exposure group significantly increased the risk of overweight (OR = 1.10, 95% CI: 1.04-1.16) and obesity (OR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05-1.24). Sensitivity analyses revealed no significant change in the famine exposure and BMI, the risk of overweight and obesity study when any one study was excluded. Subgroup analyses showed that age, gender, exposure type, study type, continent, famine cause and paper publication date were associated with BMI, the risk of overweight and obesity. Meta-regression analyses suggested that continent, famine cause could partially explain heterogeneity for famine exposure and BMI studies.
The systematic review and meta-analysis indicates that famine exposure during early life may increase BMI, the risk of overweight and obesity, especially for female, fetal famine exposure or subject age less than 50. Furthermore, famine exposure group the risk of overweight and obesity in cross-sectional studies, Asian studies, famine cause by natural disaster or paper published from 2015 to the present studies are higher than that of non-exposed group.
以往的流行病学研究报告了早年时期经历饥荒与成年后超重或肥胖之间的关联,但迄今为止尚未形成一致的观点。
通过进行系统评价和荟萃分析,确定饥荒暴露是否会增加成年人的体重指数(BMI),并评估饥荒暴露与超重或肥胖风险之间的关联。
从PubMed、ScienceDirect、Cochrane和中国知网系统检索已发表的文章(截至2017年8月)。最初,使用加权均数差(WMD)比较暴露组和非暴露组之间BMI的差异。随后,计算饥荒暴露对超重或肥胖风险的影响,采用随机效应模型合并相对危险度(RRs)、比值比(ORs)或风险比(HRs)及其95%置信区间(CIs)。
本系统评价和荟萃分析纳入了20项研究。与非暴露组相比,饥荒暴露组超重风险(OR = 1.10,95%CI:1.04 - 1.16)和肥胖风险(OR = 1.15,95%CI:1.05 - 1.24)显著增加。敏感性分析显示,排除任何一项研究后,饥荒暴露与BMI、超重和肥胖风险的研究结果无显著变化。亚组分析表明,年龄、性别、暴露类型、研究类型、大洲、饥荒原因和论文发表日期与BMI、超重和肥胖风险相关。Meta回归分析表明,大洲、饥荒原因可部分解释饥荒暴露与BMI研究的异质性。
该系统评价和荟萃分析表明,早年时期的饥荒暴露可能会增加BMI、超重和肥胖风险,尤其是女性、胎儿期饥荒暴露或受试者年龄小于50岁的情况。此外,在横断面研究、亚洲研究、由自然灾害导致饥荒的研究或2015年至今发表的研究中,饥荒暴露组的超重和肥胖风险高于非暴露组。