Galán Iñaki, Simón Lorena, Boldo Elena, Ortiz Cristina, Fernández-Cuenca Rafael, Linares Cristina, Medrano María José, Pastor-Barriuso Roberto
National Centre for Epidemiology, Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Madrid, Spain.
Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, School of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid /IdiPAZ, Madrid, Spain.
PLoS One. 2017 May 24;12(5):e0177979. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177979. eCollection 2017.
Existing evidence on the effects of smoke-free policies on respiratory diseases is scarce and inconclusive. Spain enacted two consecutive smoke-free regulations: a partial ban in 2006 and a comprehensive ban in 2011. We estimated their impact on hospital admissions via emergency departments for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma.
Data for COPD (ICD-9 490-492, 494-496) came from 2003-2012 hospital admission records from the fourteen largest provinces of Spain and from five provinces for asthma (ICD-9 493). We estimated changes in hospital admission rates within provinces using Poisson additive models adjusted for long-term linear trends and seasonality, day of the week, temperature, influenza, acute respiratory infections, and pollen counts (asthma models). We estimated immediate and gradual effects through segmented-linear models. The coefficients within each province were combined through random-effects multivariate meta-analytic models.
The partial ban was associated with a strong significant pooled immediate decline in COPD-related admission rates (14.7%, 95%CI: 5.0, 23.4), sustained over time with a one-year decrease of 13.6% (95%CI: 2.9, 23.1). The association was consistent across age and sex groups but stronger in less economically developed Spanish provinces. Asthma-related admission rates decreased by 7.4% (95%CI: 0.2, 14.2) immediately after the comprehensive ban was implemented, although the one-year decrease was sustained only among men (9.9%, 95%CI: 3.9, 15.6).
The partial ban was associated with an immediate and sustained strong decline in COPD-related admissions, especially in less economically developed provinces. The comprehensive ban was related to an immediate decrease in asthma, sustained for the medium-term only among men.
关于无烟政策对呼吸系统疾病影响的现有证据稀少且尚无定论。西班牙相继颁布了两项无烟法规:2006年的部分禁令和2011年的全面禁令。我们评估了这些法规对因慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)和哮喘通过急诊科住院治疗的影响。
COPD(国际疾病分类第九版编码490 - 492、494 - 496)的数据来自西班牙14个最大省份2003 - 2012年的医院入院记录,哮喘(国际疾病分类第九版编码493)的数据来自5个省份。我们使用泊松加法模型估计各省住院率的变化,该模型针对长期线性趋势和季节性、星期几、温度、流感、急性呼吸道感染以及花粉计数(哮喘模型)进行了调整。我们通过分段线性模型估计即时和渐进影响。各省份内的系数通过随机效应多变量荟萃分析模型进行合并。
部分禁令与COPD相关住院率的显著即刻合并下降相关(14.7%,95%置信区间:5.0,23.4),且随时间持续,一年下降13.6%(95%置信区间:2.9,23.1)。该关联在不同年龄和性别组中一致,但在西班牙经济欠发达省份更强。全面禁令实施后,哮喘相关住院率立即下降了7.4%(95%置信区间:0.2,14.2),尽管仅男性的一年下降率持续存在(9.9%,95%置信区间:3.9,15.6)。
部分禁令与COPD相关住院率的即刻和持续大幅下降相关,尤其是在经济欠发达省份。全面禁令与哮喘的即刻下降相关,仅男性在中期持续存在。