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根据 11-13 孕周的母体因素和生物标志物,对双胎妊娠子痫前期进行筛查的竞争风险模型。

Competing-risks model in screening for pre-eclampsia in twin pregnancy according to maternal factors and biomarkers at 11-13 weeks' gestation.

机构信息

Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK.

Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.

出版信息

Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol. 2017 Nov;50(5):589-595. doi: 10.1002/uog.17531. Epub 2017 Sep 25.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To develop a model for screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) in twin pregnancies based on maternal demographic characteristics and medical history and biomarkers at 11-13 weeks' gestation.

METHODS

This was a screening study in twin pregnancies at 11-13 weeks' gestation. Bayes theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk from maternal factors with various combinations of uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), mean arterial pressure (MAP), serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and placental growth factor (PlGF) multiples of the median (MoM) values. The performance of screening for PE requiring delivery at < 32, < 37 and < 42 weeks' gestation was estimated in 1100 twin pregnancies and 35 948 singleton pregnancies with complete data on UtA-PI, MAP, PlGF and PAPP-A.

RESULTS

In twin pregnancies that developed PE, the values of MAP and UtA-PI were increased and the values of PlGF and PAPP-A were decreased. The distributions of log MoM values of biomarkers with gestational age at delivery were similar to those that were previously reported in singleton pregnancies and it was therefore assumed that the same model could be used for both singleton and twin pregnancies. The performance of screening for PE by maternal factors was improved by the addition of MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF; there was no further improvement with the addition of PAPP-A. In a mixed population of singleton and twin pregnancies, combined screening by maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF and risk cut-off of 1 in 75 for PE at < 37 weeks, the detection rate of PE at < 32, < 37 and < 42 weeks in singleton pregnancies was 91%, 77% and 57%, respectively, at a screen-positive rate (SPR) of 13%; the respective rates for twin pregnancies were 100%, 99% and 97%, at a SPR of 75%.

CONCLUSION

First-trimester combined screening for PE in singleton pregnancies can be adapted for screening in twins, leading to detection of nearly all affected cases but at a high SPR. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

摘要

目的

基于 11-13 孕周孕妇的人口统计学特征和病史以及生物标志物,建立双胎妊娠子痫前期(PE)筛查模型。

方法

本研究为 11-13 孕周双胎妊娠筛查研究。采用贝叶斯定理,将母体因素的先验风险与子宫动脉搏动指数(UtA-PI)、平均动脉压(MAP)、妊娠相关血浆蛋白-A(PAPP-A)和胎盘生长因子(PlGF)中位数倍数(MoM)的各种组合相结合。在 1100 例双胎妊娠和 35948 例具有完整 UtA-PI、MAP、PlGF 和 PAPP-A 数据的单胎妊娠中,估计了不同孕周(<32 周、<37 周和<42 周)分娩的 PE 筛查性能。

结果

在发生 PE 的双胎妊娠中,MAP 和 UtA-PI 值升高,PlGF 和 PAPP-A 值降低。生物标志物 logMoM 值随分娩时胎龄的分布与之前在单胎妊娠中的报道相似,因此假设可以使用相同的模型用于单胎和双胎妊娠。MAP、UtA-PI 和 PlGF 的加入提高了母体因素筛查 PE 的性能;加入 PAPP-A 后没有进一步改善。在单胎和双胎妊娠的混合人群中,通过母体因素、MAP、UtA-PI 和 PlGF 的联合筛查,并设定 PE 风险截断值为 1/75,在单胎妊娠中,<37 周时 PE 的检出率为 91%、77%和 57%,筛查阳性率(SPR)为 13%;双胎妊娠的相应检出率分别为 100%、99%和 97%,SPR 为 75%。

结论

单胎妊娠的子痫前期早期联合筛查可用于双胎妊娠筛查,可检出几乎所有的病例,但筛查阳性率较高。版权所有 © 2017 ISUOG。由 John Wiley & Sons Ltd 出版。

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