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飓风风险感知:来自美国股票市场的证据。

Risk Perceptions on Hurricanes: Evidence from the U.S. Stock Market.

机构信息

Department of Financial Economics, Pablo de Olavide University, 41013 Seville, Spain.

Department of Geography, Pablo de Olavide University, 41013 Seville, Spain.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2017 Jun 5;14(6):600. doi: 10.3390/ijerph14060600.

Abstract

This article examines the market reaction of the main Property and Casualty (P & C) insurance companies listed in the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) to seven most recent hurricanes that hit the East Coast of the United States from 2005 to 2012. For this purpose, we run a standard short horizon event study in order to test the existence of abnormal returns around the landfalls. P & C companies are one of the most affected sectors by such events because of the huge losses to rebuild, help and compensate the inhabitants of the affected areas. From the financial investors' perception, this kind of events implies severe losses, which could influence the expected returns. Our research highlights the existence of significant cumulative abnormal returns around the landfall event window in most of the hurricanes analyzed, except for the Katrina and Sandy Hurricanes.

摘要

本文考察了 2005 年至 2012 年期间袭击美国东海岸的 7 场最近飓风对在纽约证券交易所(NYSE)上市的主要财产和意外伤害(P&C)保险公司的市场反应。为此,我们进行了标准的短期事件研究,以检验在登陆时是否存在异常回报。由于需要重建、帮助和补偿受灾地区居民,P&C 公司是受此类事件影响最大的行业之一。从金融投资者的角度来看,此类事件意味着严重的损失,这可能会影响预期回报。我们的研究强调了在大多数分析的飓风中,除了卡特里娜飓风和桑迪飓风,在登陆事件窗口周围存在显著的累计异常回报。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2de0/5486286/340673913c90/ijerph-14-00600-g001.jpg

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