Prist Paula Ribeiro, D Andrea Paulo Sérgio, Metzger Jean Paul
Department of Ecology, Bioscience Institute, University of São Paulo, Rua do Matão, 321, travessa 14, São Paulo, SP, 05508-900, Brazil.
Department of Tropical Medicine, Oswaldo Cruz Institute, FIOCRUZ, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Ecohealth. 2017 Sep;14(3):614-629. doi: 10.1007/s10393-017-1255-8. Epub 2017 Jun 15.
We performed a literature review in order to improve our understanding of how landscape and climate drivers affect HCPS outbreaks. Anthropogenic landscape changes such as forest loss, fragmentation and agricultural land uses are related with a boost in hantavirus reservoir species abundance and hantavirus prevalence in tropical areas, increasing HCPS risk. Additionally, higher precipitation, especially in arid regions, favors an increase in vegetational biomass, which augments the resources for reservoir rodents, also increasing HCPS risk. Although these relationships were observed, few studies described it so far, and the ones that did it are concentrated in few places. To guide future research on this issue, we build a conceptual model relating landscape and climate variables with HCPS outbreaks and identified research opportunities. We point out the need for studies addressing the effects of landscape configuration, temperature and the interaction between climate and landscape variables. Critical landscape thresholds are also highly relevant, once HCPS risk transmission can increase rapidly above a certain degree of landscape degradation. These studies could be relevant to implement preventive measures, creating landscapes that can mitigate disease spread risk.
我们进行了一项文献综述,以加深对景观和气候驱动因素如何影响汉坦病毒肺综合征(HCPS)暴发的理解。森林砍伐、碎片化以及农业土地利用等人为景观变化与热带地区汉坦病毒宿主物种数量增加和汉坦病毒流行率上升有关,从而增加了汉坦病毒肺综合征的风险。此外,更高的降水量,尤其是在干旱地区,有利于植被生物量的增加,这增加了宿主啮齿动物的资源,也增加了汉坦病毒肺综合征的风险。尽管观察到了这些关系,但迄今为止很少有研究对此进行描述,而且进行相关研究的地区也很有限。为了指导未来关于这个问题的研究,我们构建了一个概念模型,将景观和气候变量与汉坦病毒肺综合征暴发联系起来,并确定了研究机会。我们指出需要开展研究,以探讨景观格局、温度以及气候与景观变量之间的相互作用的影响。关键的景观阈值也高度相关,因为一旦景观退化到一定程度,汉坦病毒肺综合征的风险传播可能会迅速增加。这些研究可能与实施预防措施相关,创造能够降低疾病传播风险的景观。