Xu Zhiwei, Crooks James Lewis, Black Deborah, Hu Wenbiao, Tong Shilu
School of Public Health and Social Work, Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.
National Jewish Health, Denver, United States.
Environ Pollut. 2017 Oct;229:525-530. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2017.06.030. Epub 2017 Jun 19.
Data on the health impacts of heatwaves in infants are limited, and this study aimed to examine how heatwaves affect hospital admissions in infants.
A quasi-Poisson generalized additive model was used to assess the effects of heatwaves on hospital admissions in infants from 1st January 2005 to 31st December 2015 in Brisbane, Australia, using a series of heatwave definitions after controlling for possible confounders. A case-only analysis was conducted to examine the possible modification effects of personal and community characteristics on the heatwaves effects on infants' hospital admissions.
There was no significant increase in infants' hospital admissions when heatwave intensity was defined as mean temperature ≥90 percentile or ≥95th percentile of the mean temperature across the study period. When heatwave intensity increased to ≥97th percentile, infants' hospital admissions increased significantly (RR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.10), and this increase raised with the increase of heatwave duration. No modification effect of gender, indigenous status, or Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) level on heatwave effect was observed.
Infants in Brisbane were sensitive to intense heatwaves, and future heat early warning system based on a local evidence-based heatwave definition is needed to protect infants from heatwave impacts. Community-based heatwave adaptation programs aiming at raising the awareness of the adverse health impacts of intense heatwaves among infants' caregivers may relieve the postnatal health care demand in infants.
关于热浪对婴儿健康影响的数据有限,本研究旨在探讨热浪如何影响婴儿的住院情况。
采用准泊松广义相加模型,在控制可能的混杂因素后,使用一系列热浪定义,评估2005年1月1日至2015年12月31日澳大利亚布里斯班热浪对婴儿住院情况的影响。进行了仅病例分析,以检验个人和社区特征对热浪对婴儿住院影响的可能修正作用。
当热浪强度定义为研究期间平均温度≥第90百分位数或≥平均温度的第95百分位数时,婴儿住院人数没有显著增加。当热浪强度增加到≥第97百分位数时,婴儿住院人数显著增加(相对风险:1.05,95%置信区间:1.01,1.10),且这种增加随着热浪持续时间的增加而上升。未观察到性别、原住民身份或地区社会经济指数(SEIFA)水平对热浪影响的修正作用。
布里斯班的婴儿对强烈热浪敏感,需要基于当地循证热浪定义的未来热浪早期预警系统,以保护婴儿免受热浪影响。针对提高婴儿照料者对强烈热浪对健康不利影响认识的社区热浪适应计划,可能会减轻婴儿的产后医疗保健需求。