Parsaeian Mahboubeh, Pouraram Hamed, Djazayery Abolghasem, Abdollahi Zahra, Dorosty Ahmadreza, Jalali Mahmood, Khodaverdian Katayoon, Sotoudeh Gity, Yarparvar Amirhusein, Heshmat Ramin, Siassi Fereydoun, Mohammad Kazem
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences (TUMS), Tehran, Iran.
School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences (TUMS), Tehran, Iran.
Arch Iran Med. 2017 Jun;20(6):361-367.
It is reported that women in developing countries reach menopause earlier compared to developed countries. This seems to be due to underestimation of age at menopause as pre-menopause women who will reach menopause at older ages are commonly excluded in cross-sectional settings. In this study, we propose an estimation method which can deal with this bias. We also assessed major determinants of menopause.
The second national integrated micronutrient survey in Iran completed in 2015 is a population-based study with a nationally representative sample of 4,898 Iranian women aged 50 to 60 years. We used data on menopause status and menopausal age (asked retrospectively) to estimate the median survival time. We also used Logistic regression to model menopausal status on the current age and to estimate the median age, at which 50% of women will experience menopause. Demographic, lifestyle, and anthropometric determinants were also examined.
The estimated age at menopause was 51.2 (51.0-51.3) years in the logistic model and 50.5 (48.1, 53.7) years in survival analysis. In both models, the age at menopause was significantly lower among rural and underweight women. In addition, survival analysis showed that smokers and women with smaller family size had significantly lower age at menopause.
While many studies stress a gap in age at menopause between developed and developing countries, this study with a reliable estimation method showed that such a gap might originate from an underestimation of age at menopause in developing countries rather than a real difference.
据报道,与发达国家的女性相比,发展中国家的女性绝经时间更早。这似乎是由于在横断面研究中,即将在较年长时绝经的绝经前女性通常被排除在外,从而导致对绝经年龄的低估。在本研究中,我们提出了一种能够处理这种偏差的估计方法。我们还评估了绝经的主要决定因素。
2015年完成的伊朗第二次全国综合微量营养素调查是一项基于人群的研究,样本为4898名年龄在50至60岁之间具有全国代表性的伊朗女性。我们使用绝经状态和绝经年龄(回顾性询问)的数据来估计中位生存时间。我们还使用逻辑回归模型来分析当前年龄与绝经状态的关系,并估计50%的女性将经历绝经的中位年龄。我们还研究了人口统计学、生活方式和人体测量学决定因素。
在逻辑模型中,估计的绝经年龄为51.2(51.0 - 51.3)岁,在生存分析中为50.5(48.1,53.7)岁。在这两个模型中,农村和体重过轻的女性绝经年龄显著较低。此外,生存分析表明,吸烟者和家庭规模较小的女性绝经年龄显著较低。
虽然许多研究强调发达国家和发展中国家在绝经年龄上存在差距,但本研究采用可靠的估计方法表明,这种差距可能源于发展中国家对绝经年龄的低估,而非实际差异。