Jin Jianjun, He Rui, Gong Haozhou, Xu Xia, He Chunyang
State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2017 Jun 30;14(7):713. doi: 10.3390/ijerph14070713.
This study measures farmers' risk attitudes in rural China using a survey instrument and a complementary experiment conducted in the field with the same sample of subjects. Using a question asking people about their willingness to take risks "in general", we found that the average response of our sample is slightly risk averse. Farmers' exogenous factors (age, gender, and height) and self-reported happiness have a significant impact on farmers' willingness to take risks. The experiment results show that approximately 44% of farmers in the study area are risk averse. We compare farmers' self-reported measures of risk preferences derived from the survey instrument to preferences elicited through the experimental task. Results show that answers to the general risk attitude question in the survey can predict farmers' behaviors in the experiment to a statistically significant degree. This paper can contribute to the empirical literature on comparing local farmers' risk attitudes across different risk preference measurement methods in the developing world.
本研究通过一项调查工具以及在实地对相同样本主体进行的补充实验，来衡量中国农村地区农民的风险态度。通过询问人们“总体上”承担风险的意愿这一问题，我们发现样本的平均回答略显厌恶风险。农民的外在因素（年龄、性别和身高）以及自我报告的幸福感对农民承担风险的意愿有显著影响。实验结果表明，研究区域内约44%的农民厌恶风险。我们将从调查工具中得出的农民自我报告的风险偏好测量结果，与通过实验任务得出的偏好进行比较。结果显示，调查中关于总体风险态度问题的答案能够在统计上显著地预测农民在实验中的行为。本文有助于丰富实证文献，以比较发展中世界不同风险偏好测量方法下当地农民的风险态度。
