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1990 - 2012年中国大陆宗教感知重要性的变化:年龄-时期-队列分析

Changing perceived importance of religion in mainland China, 1990-2012: An age-period- cohort analysis.

作者信息

Hu Anning

机构信息

Fudan University, 831, Liberal Arts Building, Fudan University, 220 Handan Road, Shanghai 200433, China.

出版信息

Soc Sci Res. 2017 Aug;66:264-278. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2016.10.014. Epub 2016 Nov 2.

Abstract

The comprehensive social reform and relaxation of religious regulation in mainland China have encouraged scholars to propose a revival thesis of religion, predicting a rising prevalence of religious adherence in the Reform Era. This study extends the revival thesis by focusing attention on people's subjective religiosity, and investigates age, period, and cohort effects on the transition in perceived importance of religion from 1990 to 2012. Capitalizing on the repeated cross-sectional data of the China sample in the World Values Survey, this study shows that (1) The senior population, relative to the younger counterpart, attaches greater importance to religion. (2) The net period effect suggests that Chinese citizens' perceived importance of religion follows an upward trend by the early 2000s, but no significant growth is detected henceforward. (3) The cohorts who experienced the anti-religion Mao's Era in their adolescent life course stage have an evidently lower probability of viewing religion to be important, in relation to the cohorts of the Reform Era. Theoretical implications of the empirical age-period-cohort patterns for the religious economies theory and change of Chinese religious landscape are discussed.

摘要

中国大陆全面的社会改革和宗教管制的放松促使学者们提出宗教复兴论,预测宗教信仰在改革时代的流行程度将会上升。本研究通过关注人们的主观宗教性来扩展复兴论,并调查1990年至2012年期间年龄、时期和队列效应在宗教重要性认知转变方面的影响。利用世界价值观调查中中国样本的重复横截面数据,本研究表明:(1)相对于年轻人,老年人更重视宗教。(2)净时期效应表明,到21世纪初,中国公民对宗教重要性的认知呈上升趋势,但此后未发现显著增长。(3)在青少年生活阶段经历过反宗教的毛泽东时代的队列,相对于改革时代的队列,认为宗教重要的可能性明显更低。讨论了实证年龄-时期-队列模式对宗教经济理论和中国宗教格局变化的理论意义。

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