Belem Mahamadou, Saqalli Mehdi
Complex System Modeling, West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use Competence Center, Burkina Faso.
UMR 5602 GEODE Géographie de l'Environnement, CNRS Université Toulouse 2 Jean Jaurès, 5, Allées Antonio Machado, 31058, Toulouse, France.
J Environ Manage. 2017 Nov 1;202(Pt 1):117-125. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.07.018. Epub 2017 Jul 17.
This paper presents an integrated model assessing the impacts of climate change, agro-ecosystem and demographic transition patterns on major ecosystem services in West-Africa along a partial overview of economic aspects (poverty reduction, food self-sufficiency and income generation). The model is based on an agent-based model associated with a soil model and multi-scale spatial model. The resulting Model for West-Africa Agro-Ecosystem Integrated Assessment (MOWASIA) is ecologically generic, meaning it is designed for all sudano-sahelian environments but may then be used as an experimentation facility for testing different scenarios combining ecological and socioeconomic dimensions. A case study in Burkina Faso is examined to assess the environmental and economic performances of semi-continuous and continuous farming systems. Results show that the semi-continuous system using organic fertilizer and fallowing practices contribute better to environment preservation and food security than the more economically performant continuous system. In addition, this study showed that farmers heterogeneity could play an important role in agricultural policies planning and assessment. In addition, the results showed that MOWASIA is an effective tool for designing, analysing the impacts of agro-ecosystems.
本文提出了一个综合模型,该模型沿着经济方面(减贫、粮食自给自足和创收)的部分概述,评估气候变化、农业生态系统和人口转变模式对西非主要生态系统服务的影响。该模型基于一个与土壤模型和多尺度空间模型相关联的基于主体的模型。由此产生的西非农业生态系统综合评估模型(MOWASIA)在生态方面具有通用性,这意味着它是为所有苏丹-萨赫勒环境设计的,但随后可作为一个试验工具,用于测试结合生态和社会经济层面的不同情景。对布基纳法索的一个案例研究进行了考察,以评估半连续和连续耕作系统的环境和经济表现。结果表明,使用有机肥料和休耕做法的半连续系统比经济表现更好的连续系统对环境保护和粮食安全的贡献更大。此外,本研究表明,农民的异质性在农业政策规划和评估中可能发挥重要作用。此外,结果表明,MOWASIA是设计、分析农业生态系统影响的有效工具。