Cancer Research Division, Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Gynaecological Cancer Centre, Royal Hospital for Women, Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Int J Cancer. 2017 Dec 1;141(11):2174-2186. doi: 10.1002/ijc.30900. Epub 2017 Aug 30.
The aim of this study was to assess trends in the age-specific incidence of vulvar cancer in 13 high-income countries satisfying a priori conditions regarding the availability of cancer registry data over a 20-year period; these were Canada, the United States, nine European countries, Australia and Japan. Five-yearly incidence and population at risk were obtained from the International Agency for Research on Cancer's Cancer Incidence in Five Continents for the years 1988-1992 (Volume 7) to 2003-2007 (Volume 10). The 5-yearly average percent change (AvPC) over the period and standardised rate ratios (SRRs) for 2003-2007 versus 1988-1992 were used to assess changes in the age-standardised incidence rates of vulvar cancer for all ages, and for <60 years and 60+ years. During the study period, the 5-yearly AvPC across the 13 countries increased by 4.6% (p = 0.005) in women of all ages, and 11.6% (p = 0.02) in those <60 years. No change was observed in women aged 60+ years (5-yearly AvPC = 0.1%, p = 0.94). The SRR for 2003-2007 versus 1988-1992 was significantly elevated in women <60 years of age (SRR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.30-1.46), but not in women of 60+ years (SRR = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.97-1.05). The increase in incidence in women <60 years of age drove a significant increase in the overall SRR in women of all ages (SRR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.11-1.18). Some differences in the specific findings at the individual country level were observed. The findings are consistent with changing sexual behaviours and increasing levels of exposure to human papillomavirus (HPV) in cohorts born around/after about 1950, but younger cohorts offered HPV vaccination are likely to receive some protection against developing vulvar cancer in the future.
本研究的目的是评估在 20 年内满足癌症登记数据可用性的先验条件的 13 个高收入国家中,外阴癌的年龄特异性发病率趋势;这些国家是加拿大、美国、9 个欧洲国家、澳大利亚和日本。国际癌症研究机构的癌症发病率在五个大陆的癌症发病率数据 1988-1992 年(第 7 卷)至 2003-2007 年(第 10 卷),用于获取 5 年发病率和危险人群。该期间的 5 年平均百分比变化(AvPC)和 2003-2007 年与 1988-1992 年的标准化率比(SRR)用于评估所有年龄、<60 岁和 60 岁以上的外阴癌年龄标准化发病率的变化。在研究期间,13 个国家的所有年龄段女性的 5 年 AvPC 增加了 4.6%(p=0.005),<60 岁女性增加了 11.6%(p=0.02)。60 岁以上女性未观察到变化(5 年 AvPC=0.1%,p=0.94)。与 1988-1992 年相比,2003-2007 年的 SRR 在<60 岁女性中显著升高(SRR=1.38,95%CI:1.30-1.46),但在 60 岁以上女性中无变化(SRR=1.01,95%CI:0.97-1.05)。<60 岁女性发病率的增加导致所有年龄段女性的总 SRR 显著增加(SRR=1.14,95%CI:1.11-1.18)。在个别国家层面观察到一些具体发现的差异。这些发现与大约 1950 年前后出生的队列中不断变化的性行为和人类乳头瘤病毒(HPV)暴露水平相一致,但未来接种 HPV 疫苗的年轻队列可能会对预防外阴癌的发展有一定的保护作用。