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检测中国最近 70 年来的储水变化的空间模式。

Detection of the spatial patterns of water storage variation over China in recent 70 years.

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China.

Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2017 Jul 25;7(1):6423. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-06558-5.

Abstract

Terrestrial water storage (TWS) variation is crucial for global hydrological cycles and water resources management under climatic changes. In the previous studies, changes in water storage of some part of China have been studied with GRACE data in recent ten years. However, the spatial pattern of changes in water storage over China may be different in a long period. Here, we aimed to present long-term spatial patterns of TWS over China between 1948 to 2015 by unique Global Land Data Assimilation System Version 2 data and identify possible factors to water storage changes. The results revealed that the inner-annual variations in TWS of China exhibited remarkable downward trends with decreased rate of 0.1 cm/yr. Meanwhile, we found that spatial patterns of TWS in China can be divided into three distinct sub-regions of TWS region with increased, TWS region with decreased, TWS region with insignificant variation. The Northeast had decreased trends (-0.05 cm/yr) due to climate change and anthropogenic activities. Urban expansion is a non-ignorable factor to TWS reduction in Jing-Jin-Ji region (r = 0.61); the west had increased from 1948 to 2015 (0.03 cm/yr) due to precipitation increased and recharge by glacier melt; the south had insignificant trends and TWS varied with precipitation (r = 0.78).

摘要

陆地水储量(TWS)变化对于全球水文循环和气候变化下的水资源管理至关重要。在以前的研究中,利用 GRACE 数据研究了中国部分地区在最近十年中的储水变化。然而,在中国长期内,储水变化的空间模式可能有所不同。在这里,我们旨在通过独特的全球陆地数据同化系统版本 2 数据展示 1948 年至 2015 年期间中国长期的 TWS 空间变化模式,并确定可能导致储水变化的因素。结果表明,中国 TWS 的年内变化表现出明显的下降趋势,下降速率为 0.1cm/yr。同时,我们发现中国 TWS 的空间模式可以分为三个不同的 TWS 区域:TWS 增加区域、TWS 减少区域和 TWS 变化不显著区域。由于气候变化和人为活动的影响,东北地区的 TWS 呈减少趋势(-0.05cm/yr)。城市扩张是京津冀地区 TWS 减少的一个不可忽视的因素(r=0.61);西部地区从 1948 年到 2015 年呈增加趋势(0.03cm/yr),这是由于降水增加和冰川融化补给;南部地区变化不显著,TWS 随降水而变化(r=0.78)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b9e1/5526944/7e23ffe8cefe/41598_2017_6558_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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