Medical Oncology, Shanghai Cancer Center and Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, 270 Dongan Road, Shanghai 200032, China.
Clinical Statistical Center, Shanghai Cancer Center and Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, 270 Dongan Road, Shanghai 200032, China.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2017 Nov;91:87-94. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2017.07.010. Epub 2017 Jul 27.
The decision to make protocols of phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) publicly accessible by leading journals was a landmark event in clinical trial reporting. Here, we compared primary outcomes defined in protocols with those in publications describing the trials and in trial registration.
We identified phase III RCTs published between January 1, 2012, and June 30, 2015, in The New England Journal of Medicine, The Lancet, The Journal of the American Medical Association, and The BMJ with available protocols. Consistency in primary outcomes between protocols and registries (articles) was evaluated.
We identified 299 phase III RCTs with available protocols in this analysis. Out of them, 25 trials (8.4%) had some discrepancy for primary outcomes between publications and protocols. Types of discrepancies included protocol-defined primary outcome reported as nonprimary outcome in publication (11 trials, 3.7%), protocol-defined primary outcome omitted in publication (10 trials, 3.3%), new primary outcome introduced in publication (8 trials, 2.7%), protocol-defined nonprimary outcome reported as primary outcome in publication (4 trials, 1.3%), and different timing of assessment of primary outcome (4 trials, 1.3%). Out of trials with discrepancies in primary outcome, 15 trials (60.0%) had discrepancies that favored statistically significant results. Registration could be seen as a valid surrogate of protocol in 237 of 299 trials (79.3%) with regard to primary outcome.
Despite unrestricted public access to protocols, selective outcome reporting persists in a small fraction of phase III RCTs. Only studies from four leading journals were included, which may cause selection bias and limit the generalizability of this finding.
主要期刊公开获取 III 期随机对照试验(RCT)方案的决定是临床试验报告中的一个里程碑事件。在这里,我们比较了方案中定义的主要结局与描述试验的出版物和试验注册中的主要结局。
我们确定了 2012 年 1 月 1 日至 2015 年 6 月 30 日期间在《新英格兰医学杂志》《柳叶刀》《美国医学会杂志》和《英国医学杂志》上发表的、有可用方案的 III 期 RCT。评估了方案和注册(文章)之间主要结局的一致性。
在这项分析中,我们确定了 299 项有可用方案的 III 期 RCT。其中,25 项试验(8.4%)在出版物和方案中,主要结局存在一些差异。差异类型包括:方案中定义的主要结局在出版物中被报告为非主要结局(11 项试验,3.7%)、方案中定义的主要结局在出版物中被省略(10 项试验,3.3%)、出版物中引入新的主要结局(8 项试验,2.7%)、方案中定义的非主要结局在出版物中被报告为主要结局(4 项试验,1.3%)和主要结局评估时间不同(4 项试验,1.3%)。在主要结局有差异的试验中,15 项试验(60.0%)的差异有利于统计学上显著的结果。在 299 项试验中有 237 项(79.3%),注册可以被视为方案的有效替代物。
尽管方案可以不受限制地公开获取,但在一小部分 III 期 RCT 中仍然存在选择性结局报告。仅纳入了来自四个主要期刊的研究,这可能会导致选择偏倚,限制这一发现的普遍性。