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时间贴现中的价值观。

Values in Time Discounting.

机构信息

Erasmus Institute for Philosophy and Economics (EIPE), Faculty of Philosophy, Erasmus University Rotterdam, P.O. Box 1783, 3000 DR, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Sci Eng Ethics. 2017 Oct;23(5):1333-1349. doi: 10.1007/s11948-017-9950-y. Epub 2017 Aug 15.

Abstract

Controversies about time discounting loom large in decisions about climate change. Prominently, a particularly controversial debate about time discounting in climate change decision-making has been conducted within climate economics, between the authors of Stern et al. (Stern review on the economics of climate change, 2006) and their critics (most prominently Dasgupta in Comments on the Stern review's economics of climate change, 2006; Tol in Energy Environ 17(6):977-981, 2006; Weitzman in J Econ Lit XLV:703-724, 2007; Nordhaus in J Econ Lit XLV:686-702, 2007). The article examines the role of values in this debate. Firstly, it is shown that time discounting is a case in which values are key because it is at heart an ethical problem. Secondly, it is argued that time discounting in climate economics is a case of economists making frequent and routine references to ethical values and indeed conduct ethical debates with each other. Thirdly, it is argued that there is evidence for deep and pervasive entanglement between facts and values in the prevalent methodologies for time discounting. Finally, it is argued that this means that economists have given up the 'value-free ideal' concerning time discounting, and discussed how the current methodology of time discounting in economics can be improved.

摘要

关于时间贴现在气候变化决策中的争议很大。在气候变化经济学领域,斯特恩等人(Stern 等人关于气候变化经济学的评论,2006 年)与他们的批评者之间就气候变化决策中的时间贴现问题进行了一场特别有争议的辩论,引人注目(最著名的是 Dasgupta 在对斯特恩评论的气候变化经济学的评论,2006 年;Tol 在 Energy Environ 17(6):977-981,2006 年;Weitzman 在 J Econ Lit XLV:703-724,2007 年;Nordhaus 在 J Econ Lit XLV:686-702,2007 年)。本文探讨了价值观在这场辩论中的作用。首先,它表明时间贴现是一个价值观起关键作用的案例,因为它本质上是一个伦理问题。其次,有人认为,在气候经济学中,时间贴现是经济学家经常频繁地提及伦理价值观的一个例子,实际上他们之间也进行了伦理辩论。第三,有人认为,在流行的时间贴现方法中,存在事实和价值之间深度和普遍交织的证据。最后,有人认为,这意味着经济学家已经放弃了关于时间贴现的“价值无涉理想”,并讨论了如何改进经济学中当前的时间贴现方法。

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