School of Humanities and Economic Management, China University of Geosciences, Beijing, 100083, China.
Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for Resource and Environment, Ministry of Land and Resources, Beijing, 100083, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2017 Oct;24(29):23290-23298. doi: 10.1007/s11356-017-9915-3. Epub 2017 Aug 24.
The rapid development of coal industry in Shanxi province in China has important effects on its economic development. A large amount of money has been invested into the coal industry and other related industries during the recent years. However, research on the investment effect of Shanxi's coal industry was rare. In order to analyze the investment effect of coal industry, based on the crowding-out effect model, cointegration test, and the data available in Shanxi Statistical Yearbooks, this paper calculates the effect between coal industry investment and other 17 industry investment. The results show that the investment of coal industry produces crowding-out effect on food industry, building materials industry, and machinery industry. Increasing 1% of the coal industry investment can reduce 0.25% of the food industry investment, or 0.6% of building materials industry investment, or 0.52% of the machinery industry investment, which implies that Shanxi province should adjust coal industrial structure, promote the balance development of coal industry and other industries, so as to promote its economic growth.
中国山西省煤炭工业的快速发展对其经济发展具有重要影响。近年来,大量资金投入到煤炭工业及其相关产业。然而,针对山西煤炭产业投资效果的研究却很少。为了分析煤炭产业的投资效果,基于挤出效应模型、协整检验,以及山西统计年鉴中的数据,本文计算了煤炭产业投资与其他 17 个产业投资之间的效应。结果表明,煤炭产业投资对食品工业、建材工业和机械工业产生挤出效应。煤炭产业投资每增加 1%,食品工业投资就会减少 0.25%,或者建材工业投资减少 0.6%,或者机械工业投资减少 0.52%,这意味着山西省应调整煤炭产业结构,促进煤炭产业与其他产业的平衡发展,从而促进其经济增长。