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伊朗系统性红斑狼疮患者入住重症监护病房的死亡率预测因素。

Prognostic factors of mortality in Iranian patients with systemic lupus erythematosus admitted to intensive care unit.

机构信息

Department of Rheumatology, Alzahra Hospital, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

Department of Internal Medicine, Alzahra Hospital, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

出版信息

Clin Rheumatol. 2017 Nov;36(11):2471-2477. doi: 10.1007/s10067-017-3808-1. Epub 2017 Sep 6.

Abstract

The aim was to determine the course, outcome, and determinants of mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in intensive care unit (ICU). SLE patients admitted to ICU from 2004 to 2015 were recruited retrospectively. Demographic data, disease characteristics, causes of admission, baseline SLE disease activity index-2K (SLEDAI-2K) and Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE) score, the outcome, and the causes of death were recorded. Predictors of mortality were compared between alive and dead patients by Cox regression analysis. Ninety-four patients with SLE were enrolled. Mean age at the time of ICU admission was 29.6 years. Average scores of SLEDAI and APACHE II were 11.3 and 19.8, respectively. The most common causes of ICU admission were pneumonia, diffuse alveolar hemorrhage (DAH), and seizure. Forty-seven patients (50%) died in ICU. The principal causes of death were septic shock (25.5%), multi-organ failure (12.5%), DAH (10.6%), and pneumonia (10.6%). After multivariate analysis, high APACHE II, septic shock, and duration of mechanical ventilation were indicators of survival outcome. Mean (95% CI) survival days in ICU in patients with and without respiratory failure were 14.6 (10.4-18.9) and 28.7 (17.9-39.5) days, respectively (P = 0.001). This figure for those with and without septic shock was 13.5 (4.9-11.1) and 22.3 (9.3-24.7) days, respectively (P = 0.016). High APACHE II, septic shock, and duration of mechanical ventilation were the main predictors of death in patients with SLE in ICU. Multicenter studies are needed to draw a fine picture of SLE behavior in ICU.

摘要

目的在于确定系统性红斑狼疮(SLE)患者在重症监护病房(ICU)中的病程、结局和死亡率的决定因素。回顾性招募了 2004 年至 2015 年期间入住 ICU 的 SLE 患者。记录了人口统计学数据、疾病特征、入院原因、基线系统性红斑狼疮疾病活动指数-2K(SLEDAI-2K)和急性生理学和慢性健康评估 II(APACHE)评分、结局以及死亡原因。通过 Cox 回归分析比较了存活患者和死亡患者的死亡率预测因素。共纳入 94 例 SLE 患者。入 ICU 时的平均年龄为 29.6 岁。SLEDAI 和 APACHE II 的平均评分分别为 11.3 和 19.8。ICU 入院的最常见原因是肺炎、弥漫性肺泡出血(DAH)和癫痫发作。47 例(50%)患者在 ICU 死亡。主要死亡原因是感染性休克(25.5%)、多器官衰竭(12.5%)、DAH(10.6%)和肺炎(10.6%)。多变量分析后,高 APACHE II、感染性休克和机械通气时间是生存结局的指标。有和无呼吸衰竭的患者在 ICU 中的平均(95%CI)存活天数分别为 14.6(10.4-18.9)和 28.7(17.9-39.5)天(P=0.001)。有和无感染性休克的患者的相应天数分别为 13.5(4.9-11.1)和 22.3(9.3-24.7)天(P=0.016)。高 APACHE II、感染性休克和机械通气时间是 SLE 患者 ICU 死亡的主要预测因素。需要多中心研究来描绘 SLE 在 ICU 中的行为。

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