Dept of Respiratory Medicine, St. Mary's Hospital, Imperial College London, London, UK
Dept of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, Universita degli studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Eur Respir J. 2017 Sep 10;50(3). doi: 10.1183/13993003.02306-2016. Print 2017 Sep.
International guidelines including those in the UK, Japan, Australia and South Africa recommend the avoidance of macrolides in patients with low-severity community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). We hypothesised that severity scores are poor predictors of atypical pneumonia and response to macrolide therapy, and thus, inadequate tools for guiding antibiotic prescriptions.Secondary analysis of four independent prospective CAP datasets was conducted. The predictive values of the CURB-65 and pneumonia severity index (PSI) for clinically important groups of causative pathogens were evaluated. The effect of macrolide use according to risk class was assessed by multivariable analysis. Patients (3297) were evaluated, and the predictive values of CURB-65 and PSI for atypical pathogens were poor (AUC values of 0.37 and 0.42, respectively). No significant differences were noted among the effects of macrolide use on mortality in patients with mild, moderate and severe CAP, according to either CURB-65 (interaction testing severe mild disease OR=0.74 (0.29-1.89)) or PSI (severe mild disease OR=3.4 (0.055-2.10)), indicating that severity scores were not significant modifiers of response to macrolide therapy.Severity scores did not accurately predict response to macrolide therapy in CAP, suggesting that current guidance to use these tools for empirical antibiotic choices might not be justified.
国际指南,包括英国、日本、澳大利亚和南非的指南,建议在低严重度社区获得性肺炎(CAP)患者中避免使用大环内酯类药物。我们假设严重度评分是预测非典型肺炎和大环内酯类药物治疗反应的不良预测因子,因此,是指导抗生素处方的不充分工具。对四个独立的前瞻性 CAP 数据集进行了二次分析。评估了 CURB-65 和肺炎严重指数(PSI)对有临床意义的病原体致病群体的预测值。通过多变量分析评估了根据风险类别使用大环内酯类药物的效果。评估了 3297 例患者,CURB-65 和 PSI 对非典型病原体的预测值较差(AUC 值分别为 0.37 和 0.42)。根据 CURB-65(严重疾病与轻症疾病的交互检验 OR=0.74(0.29-1.89))或 PSI(严重疾病与轻症疾病的交互检验 OR=3.4(0.055-2.10)),未发现轻、中、重度 CAP 患者使用大环内酯类药物对死亡率的影响有显著差异,表明严重度评分不是对大环内酯类药物治疗反应的显著修饰因子。严重度评分不能准确预测 CAP 中对大环内酯类药物治疗的反应,表明目前使用这些工具进行经验性抗生素选择的指南可能没有依据。