Department of Medicine, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Department of Medical Statistics and Bioinformatics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Bone Marrow Transplant. 2017 Nov;52(11):1519-1525. doi: 10.1038/bmt.2017.171. Epub 2017 Sep 11.
The International Prognostic Scoring System has been revised (IPSS-R) to predict prognosis of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes at diagnosis. To validate the use of the IPSS-R assessed before transplant rather than at diagnosis we performed a retrospective analysis of the EBMT database. A total of 579 patients had sufficient information available to calculate IPSS-R at transplant. Median overall survival (OS) from transplant was significantly different according to IPSS-R: very low 23.6 months, low 55.0 months, intermediate 19.7 months, high 13.5 months, very high 7.8 months (P<0.001). In a multivariate Cox model the following parameters were significant risk factors for OS: IPSS-R, graft source, age and prior treatment. Median relapse free survival also showed significant differences according to IPSS-R: very low: 23.6 months, low: 24.8 months, intermediate 10.6 months, high 7.9 months, very high 5.5 months (P<0.001). Multivariate risk factors for relapse-free survival (RFS) were: IPSS-R, reduced intensity conditioning, graft source and prior treatment. A trend for an increased relapse incidence was noted for very high risk IPSS-R. We conclude that the IPSS-R at transplant is a useful prognostic score for predicting OS and RFS after transplantation, capturing both disease evolution and response to prior treatment before transplant.
国际预后评分系统已被修订(IPSS-R),以预测骨髓增生异常综合征患者的诊断预后。为了验证在移植前而不是在诊断时评估 IPSS-R 的使用,我们对 EBMT 数据库进行了回顾性分析。共有 579 名患者有足够的信息可用于计算移植时的 IPSS-R。根据 IPSS-R,从移植开始的中位总生存期(OS)有显著差异:非常低为 23.6 个月,低为 55.0 个月,中为 19.7 个月,高为 13.5 个月,非常高为 7.8 个月(P<0.001)。在多变量 Cox 模型中,以下参数是 OS 的显著危险因素:IPSS-R、移植物来源、年龄和既往治疗。根据 IPSS-R,无复发生存期也有显著差异:非常低:23.6 个月,低:24.8 个月,中:10.6 个月,高:7.9 个月,非常高:5.5 个月(P<0.001)。无复发生存的多变量危险因素(RFS)是:IPSS-R、强度降低的调理、移植物来源和既往治疗。对于高危 IPSS-R,复发率有增加的趋势。我们得出结论,移植时的 IPSS-R 是预测移植后 OS 和 RFS 的有用预后评分,既能捕捉疾病的演变,又能捕捉移植前的既往治疗反应。