Hashem Mohamed, Jhaveri Ravi, Saleh Doa'a A, Sharaf Sahar A, El-Mougy Fatma, Abdelsalam Lobna, Shardell Michelle D, El-Ghazaly Hesham, El-Kamary Samer S
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore.
Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Medicine.
Clin Infect Dis. 2017 Sep 15;65(6):999-1005. doi: 10.1093/cid/cix445.
Postpartum hepatitis C viral (HCV) load decline followed by spontaneous clearance has been previously described. Herein we identify predictors for viral decline in a cohort of HCV-infected postpartum women.
Pregnant women at Cairo University were screened for anti-HCV antibodies and HCV RNA, and viremic women were tested for quantitative HCV RNA at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months postpartum. Spontaneous clearance was defined as undetectable viremia twice at least 6-months apart. Associations between viral load and demographic, obstetrical, HCV risk factors, and interleukin-28B gene (IL28B) polymorphism (rs12979860) were assessed.
Of 2514 women, 97 (3.9%) had anti-HCV antibodies, 54 (2.1%) were viremic and of those, 52 (2.1%) agreed to IL28B testing. From pregnancy until 12 months postpartum, IL28B-CC allele women had a significant viral decline (P = .009). After adjusting, the IL28B-CC allele had a near significant difference compared to the CT allele (odds ratio [OR], 0.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75,1.00; P = .05), but not the TT allele (OR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.61,1.38; P = .64). All 14/52 (26.9%) women who subsequently cleared were among the 15 with undetectable viremia at 12 months, making that time point a strong predictor of subsequent clearance (sensitivity = 100%, specificity = 97.4%, positive predictive value = 93.3%, negative predictive value = 100%).
IL28B-CC genotype and 12-month postpartum undetectable viremia were the best predictors for viral decline and subsequent clearance. These 2 predictors should influence clinical decision making.
先前已有关于产后丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)载量下降并随后自发清除的描述。在此,我们在一组HCV感染的产后女性队列中确定病毒载量下降的预测因素。
对开罗大学的孕妇进行抗HCV抗体和HCV RNA筛查,对病毒血症女性在产后3、6、9和12个月检测定量HCV RNA。自发清除定义为至少间隔6个月两次检测不到病毒血症。评估病毒载量与人口统计学、产科、HCV危险因素以及白细胞介素-28B基因(IL28B)多态性(rs12979860)之间的关联。
在2514名女性中,97名(3.9%)有抗HCV抗体,54名(2.1%)有病毒血症,其中52名(2.1%)同意进行IL28B检测。从孕期到产后12个月,携带IL28B - CC等位基因的女性病毒载量有显著下降(P = 0.009)。调整后,与CT等位基因相比,IL28B - CC等位基因有接近显著差异(优势比[OR],0.75;95%置信区间[CI],0.75,1.00;P = 0.05),但与TT等位基因相比无差异(OR,0.91;95% CI,0.61,1.38;P = 0.64)。随后清除病毒的所有14/52(26.9%)名女性都在12个月时病毒血症检测不到的15名女性之中,这使得该时间点成为后续清除的有力预测因素(敏感性 = 100%,特异性 = 97.4%,阳性预测值 = 93.3%,阴性预测值 = 100%)。
IL28B - CC基因型和产后12个月病毒血症检测不到是病毒载量下降及随后清除的最佳预测因素。这两个预测因素应影响临床决策。