Ebrahimabadi Sahar, Moghadam Ahmad Bagheri, Vakili Mohammadali, Modanloo Mahnaz, Khoddam Homeira
School of Nursing, Golestan University of Medical Sciences, Gorgan, Iran.
Department of Anesthesiology, Cardiac Anesthesia Research Centre, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran.
Indian J Crit Care Med. 2017 Aug;21(8):488-493. doi: 10.4103/ijccm.IJCCM_10_17.
The use of weaning predictive indicators can avoid early extubation and wrongful prolonged mechanical ventilation. This study aimed to determine the power of the integrative weaning index (IWI) in predicting the success rate of the spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) in patients under mechanical ventilation.
In this prospective study, 105 patients undergoing mechanical ventilation for over 48 h were enrolled. Before weaning initiation, the IWI was calculated and based on the defined cutoff point (≥25), the success rate of the SBT was predicted. In case of weaning from the device, 2-h SBT was performed and the physiologic and respiratory indices were continuously studied while being intubated. If they were in the normal range besides the patient's tolerance, the test was considered as a success. The result was then compared with the IWI and further analyzed.
The SBT was successful in 90 (85.7%) and unsuccessful in 15 (14.3%) cases. The difference between the true patient outcome after SBT, and the IWI prediction was 0.143 according to the Kappa agreement coefficient ( < 0.001). Moreover, regarding the predictive power, IWI had high sensitivity (95.6%), specificity (40%), positive and negative predictive values (90.5% and 60), positive and negative likelihood ratios (1.59 and 0.11), and accuracy (86.7%).
The IWI as a more objective indicator has acceptable accuracy and power for predicting the 2-h SBT result. Therefore, in addition to the reliable prediction of the final weaning outcome, it has favorable power to predict if the patient is ready to breathe spontaneously as the first step to weaning.
使用撤机预测指标可避免过早拔管和不当延长机械通气时间。本研究旨在确定综合撤机指数(IWI)预测机械通气患者自主呼吸试验(SBT)成功率的效能。
在这项前瞻性研究中,纳入了105例机械通气超过48小时的患者。在开始撤机前,计算IWI,并根据定义的截断点(≥25)预测SBT的成功率。若进行撤机,进行2小时的SBT,并在插管期间持续研究生理和呼吸指标。如果除患者耐受性外这些指标在正常范围内,则该试验被视为成功。然后将结果与IWI进行比较并进一步分析。
SBT成功90例(85.7%),失败15例(14.3%)。根据Kappa一致性系数,SBT后患者的实际结局与IWI预测之间的差异为0.143(<0.001)。此外,就预测效能而言,IWI具有高敏感性(95.6%)、特异性(40%)、阳性和阴性预测值(90.5%和60)、阳性和阴性似然比(1.59和0.11)以及准确性(86.7%)。
IWI作为一个更客观的指标,在预测2小时SBT结果方面具有可接受的准确性和效能。因此,除了可靠预测最终撤机结局外,它在预测患者是否准备好自主呼吸作为撤机的第一步方面也具有良好的效能。