O'Connell Jessica S, Sakowicz Allie, Miller Emily S
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Division of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Am J Perinatol. 2018 Feb;35(3):220-224. doi: 10.1055/s-0037-1606608. Epub 2017 Sep 14.
This article aims to evaluate whether midtrimester cervical length (CL) is associated with improved prediction of preterm delivery in women presenting with preterm labor.
This is a retrospective cohort study of women with a singleton gestation who underwent routine CL screening between 18 and 24 weeks of gestation between 2010 and 2014 who were later evaluated for preterm labor. Women were stratified by midtrimester CL quartile. Bivariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify factors independently associated with preterm birth <37 weeks, <34 weeks, and delivery within 7 days of evaluation. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were created for multivariable equations with and without CL quartile to determine whether addition of CL improved the predictive capacity of the model for predicting preterm birth.
A total of 460 women were evaluated for preterm labor and had midtrimester CL measurements available. When CL quartile was incorporated into a regression model including demographic and clinical characteristics associated with preterm birth, the area under the ROC curve was not improved (0.775 vs. 0.786, = 0.20).
While a shorter midtrimester CL quartile is associated with an increased incidence of preterm delivery in women evaluated for preterm labor, the addition of this variable to an existing model does not improve prediction of preterm birth.
本文旨在评估孕中期宫颈长度(CL)是否与早产临产妇女早产预测的改善相关。
这是一项回顾性队列研究,研究对象为2010年至2014年间接受常规CL筛查的单胎妊娠妇女,她们在妊娠18至24周时接受筛查,之后接受早产评估。根据孕中期CL四分位数对妇女进行分层。进行双变量和多变量分析,以确定与<37周、<34周早产以及评估后7天内分娩独立相关的因素。为包含和不包含CL四分位数的多变量方程创建受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,以确定添加CL是否提高了模型预测早产的能力。
共有460名妇女接受早产评估,且有孕中期CL测量值。当将CL四分位数纳入包含与早产相关的人口统计学和临床特征的回归模型时,ROC曲线下面积未得到改善(0.775对0.786,P = 0.20)。
虽然在接受早产评估的妇女中,较短的孕中期CL四分位数与早产发生率增加相关,但将该变量添加到现有模型中并不能改善早产预测。