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中国环境温度与早产风险之间的关联。

The association between ambient temperature and the risk of preterm birth in China.

机构信息

National Research Institute for Family Planning, Beijing, 100081, China; Graduate School of Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.

National Research Institute for Family Planning, Beijing, 100081, China; Graduate School of Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China; Environmental and Spatial Epidemiology Research Center, National Human Genetic Resources Center, Beijing, 100081, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2018 Feb 1;613-614:439-446. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.104. Epub 2017 Sep 14.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

With the gradual increase of global warming, the impact of extreme temperatures on health has become a focus of attention, however, its relationship with preterm birth remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between exposure to extreme temperatures and preterm birth.

METHODS

Temperature exposures and birth outcomes of 1,020,471 pregnant women from 132 cities in China were investigated. The pregnancy process was divided into different pregnancy periods. Study areas were divided into three categories (cold, medium, and hot areas) according to the local average temperature by cluster analysis. Average temperature data for each province used in the cluster analysis came from the China Statistical Yearbook 2013. Logistic regression was used to compare the effects of exposure to hot and cold conditions on the outcomes of pregnancy in different periods and regions.

RESULTS

A total of 1,020,471 singleton births were included, of which 73,240(7.2%) were preterm births. Compared with moderate temperatures (5th to 95th percentile), heat exposure (>95th percentile) in different periods of pregnancy increased the risk of preterm birth in hot areas. The most obvious increase was during the 3 months before pregnancy (odds ratio (OR)=1.229, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.166-1.295). In contrast to heat exposure, cold exposure (<5th percentile) in hot areas reduced the risk of preterm birth; the protective effect was most pronounced in the 3 months before pregnancy (OR=0.784, 95% CI: 0.734-0.832). In medium and cold areas cold exposure also reduced the risk of preterm birth. The effect of exposure to extreme ambient temperatures throughout the entire pregnancy on preterm birth was similar to those of the periods above.

CONCLUSIONS

Acute and chronic exposure to extreme temperatures may affect the risk of preterm birth. Extreme heat is a risk factor for preterm birth and extreme cold is a protective factor.

摘要

背景

随着全球变暖的逐渐加剧,极端温度对健康的影响已成为关注焦点,但极端温度与早产的关系尚不清楚。

目的

探讨暴露于极端温度与早产之间的关系。

方法

对中国 132 个城市的 1,020,471 名孕妇的温度暴露和分娩结局进行了调查。将妊娠过程分为不同妊娠时期。根据聚类分析得到的当地平均温度,将研究区域分为三类(冷、中、热地区)。聚类分析中使用的各省份平均温度数据来自 2013 年《中国统计年鉴》。采用 logistic 回归比较不同地区和不同妊娠时期暴露于热、冷条件对妊娠结局的影响。

结果

共纳入 1,020,471 例单胎分娩,其中 73,240(7.2%)为早产。与中温(5%至 95%分位数)相比,不同妊娠时期热暴露(>95%分位数)增加了热区早产的风险。最明显的增加发生在妊娠前 3 个月(比值比(OR)=1.229,95%置信区间(CI):1.166-1.295)。与热暴露相反,热区低温暴露(<5%分位数)降低了早产的风险;妊娠前 3 个月的保护作用最明显(OR=0.784,95%CI:0.734-0.832)。中温和寒冷地区的低温暴露也降低了早产的风险。整个孕期暴露于极端环境温度对早产的影响与上述各期相似。

结论

急性和慢性暴露于极端温度可能会影响早产的风险。极端高温是早产的危险因素,而极端低温是保护因素。

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