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伊朗伊拉姆省自杀未遂的季节性和时间模式:对2010 - 2014年现有数据的评估

Seasonality and time patterns in attempted suicide in Ilam province of Iran: An appraisal of current data of 2010 -2014.

作者信息

Veisani Yousef, Delpisheh Ali, Sayehmiri Kourosh, Moradi Ghobad, Hassanzadeh Jafar

机构信息

Psychosocial Injuries Research Center, Ilam University of Medical Sciences, Ilam, Iran.

Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Ilam University of Medical Sciences, Ilam, Iran.

出版信息

Med J Islam Repub Iran. 2017 Jul 30;31:11. doi: 10.18869/mjiri.31.11. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

Seasonality in suicide has been investigated from the early 19th century to explore the productive environmental variables. Seasonality studies can provide information on prevention and interventions in suicide. In this study, we examined seasonality in suicide and aimed to explore the differences in seasonality between rural and urban areas, mental disorders, and genders. In this cross-sectional study, overall identified suicide cases in Ilam province from 21 March 2010 and 11 December 2014 were identified, using systematic registration suicide data (SRSD). Two methods were used separately to analyze seasonality (Chisquare, Edwards' T). Seasonal effect (peak/ trough seasons) and (deaths/ attempts suicide) was explored by ratio statistics. The null hypothesis was that the completed suicides in each method group were evenly distributed over a year. Significant seasonality was observed in suicide during the study period, with one peak in the spring and one in the winter. Our results showed that suicide seasonality following mental disorders was statistically significant with a peak in the spring, regardless of other factors such as gender and age. When all non- mental suicides are taken into account, the seasonality remains statistically significant, but the peak season is shifted to autumn. Investigating suicide in Ilam revealed a significant seasonality for both rural and urban areas, which was greater in the urban part. A significant seasonality in suicide was observed in attempters with mental disorders. In suicide attempters with mental disorders, findings showed two peaks in the spring and the autumn.

摘要

自19世纪初以来,人们一直在研究自杀的季节性,以探索相关的环境变量。季节性研究可为自杀预防和干预提供信息。在本研究中,我们调查了自杀的季节性,并旨在探讨农村和城市地区、精神障碍以及性别之间的季节性差异。在这项横断面研究中,利用系统登记自杀数据(SRSD)确定了2010年3月21日至2014年12月11日期间伊拉姆省的所有自杀病例。分别使用两种方法分析季节性(卡方检验、爱德华兹T检验)。通过比率统计探索季节性效应(高峰/低谷季节)以及(死亡/自杀未遂)情况。原假设是每个方法组中的自杀死亡在一年中均匀分布。研究期间观察到自杀存在显著的季节性,春季和冬季各有一个高峰。我们的结果表明,无论性别和年龄等其他因素如何,精神障碍后的自杀季节性在春季达到高峰,具有统计学意义。当考虑所有非精神性自杀时,季节性仍然具有统计学意义,但高峰季节转移到了秋季。对伊拉姆省自杀情况的调查显示,农村和城市地区均存在显著的季节性,城市地区更为明显。在有精神障碍的自杀未遂者中观察到自杀存在显著的季节性。在有精神障碍的自杀未遂者中,研究结果显示春季和秋季有两个高峰。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cd5/5609329/0636c3a92641/mjiri-31-11-g001.jpg

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