Doshi Reena H, Eckhoff Philip, Cheng Alvan, Hoff Nicole A, Mukadi Patrick, Shidi Calixte, Gerber Sue, Wemakoy Emile Okitolonda, Muyembe-Tafum Jean-Jacques, Kominski Gerald F, Rimoin Anne W
Department of Epidemiology, UCLA Fielding School of Public Health, 650 S Charles E Young Drive, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, USA.
Vaccine. 2017 Oct 27;35(45):6187-6194. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.09.038. Epub 2017 Sep 28.
One of the goals of the Global Measles and Rubella Strategic Plan is the reduction in global measles mortality, with high measles vaccination coverage as one of its core components. While measles mortality has been reduced more than 79%, the disease remains a major cause of childhood vaccine preventable disease burden globally. Measles immunization requires a two-dose schedule and only countries with strong, stable immunization programs can rely on routine services to deliver the second dose. In the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), weak health infrastructure and lack of provision of the second dose of measles vaccine necessitates the use of supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) to administer the second dose.
We modeled three vaccination strategies using an age-structured SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model to simulate natural measles dynamics along with the effect of immunization. We compared the cost-effectiveness of two different strategies for the second dose of Measles Containing Vaccine (MCV) to one dose of MCV through routine immunization services over a 15-year time period for a hypothetical birth cohort of 3 million children.
Compared to strategy 1 (MCV1 only), strategy 2 (MCV2 by SIA) would prevent a total of 5,808,750 measles cases, 156,836 measles-related deaths and save U.S. $199 million. Compared to strategy 1, strategy 3 (MCV2 by RI) would prevent a total of 13,232,250 measles cases, 166,475 measles-related deaths and save U.S. $408 million.
Vaccination recommendations should be tailored to each country, offering a framework where countries can adapt to local epidemiological and economical circumstances in the context of other health priorities. Our results reflect the synergistic effect of two doses of MCV and demonstrate that the most cost-effective approach to measles vaccination in DRC is to incorporate the second dose of MCV in the RI schedule provided that high enough coverage can be achieved.
全球麻疹和风疹战略计划的目标之一是降低全球麻疹死亡率,高麻疹疫苗接种覆盖率是其核心组成部分之一。虽然麻疹死亡率已降低超过79%,但该疾病仍是全球儿童疫苗可预防疾病负担的主要原因。麻疹免疫需要两剂接种方案,只有具备强大、稳定免疫规划的国家才能依靠常规服务提供第二剂疫苗。在刚果民主共和国,薄弱的卫生基础设施以及麻疹疫苗第二剂供应不足,因此有必要开展补充免疫活动(SIA)来接种第二剂疫苗。
我们使用年龄结构的SIR(易感-感染-康复)模型对三种疫苗接种策略进行建模,以模拟自然麻疹动态以及免疫效果。我们比较了在15年时间内,针对一个假设的300万儿童出生队列,通过常规免疫服务为含麻疹疫苗(MCV)第二剂采用两种不同策略与一剂MCV的成本效益。
与策略1(仅接种MCV1)相比,策略2(通过SIA接种MCV2)总共可预防5,808,750例麻疹病例、156,836例麻疹相关死亡,并节省1.99亿美元。与策略1相比,策略3(通过常规免疫接种MCV2)总共可预防13,232,250例麻疹病例、166,475例麻疹相关死亡,并节省4.08亿美元。
疫苗接种建议应根据每个国家的情况量身定制,提供一个框架,使各国能够在其他卫生重点的背景下适应当地的流行病学和经济情况。我们的结果反映了两剂MCV的协同效应,并表明在刚果民主共和国,麻疹疫苗接种最具成本效益的方法是将MCV第二剂纳入常规免疫接种计划,前提是能够实现足够高的覆盖率。