Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, Rome, Italy.
Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, Rome, Italy.
Environ Int. 2017 Dec;109:146-154. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2017.09.005. Epub 2017 Sep 30.
The effect of long-term exposure to metal components in particulate matter on mortality are still controversial.
To study the association between long-term exposure to PM, PM, PM absorbance, particulate matter components (copper, iron, zinc, sulfur, silicon, potassium, nickel, and vanadium) and non-accidental, cardiovascular (CVD), and ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality.
All 30+ year olds from the Rome Longitudinal Study were followed for vital status from October 2001 until December 2010. We used land use regression models to estimate annual average concentrations at residences and Cox models to estimate the associations between pollutants and cause-specific mortality, adjusting for individual and contextual characteristics. Hazard ratios (HRs) were expressed per increments equal to the 5-95 percentile range of each pollutant distribution.
We analyzed 1,249,108 residents and found strong associations between all exposure indicators and mortality. We observed higher mortality risk with increasing exposure to PM absorbance (HR=1.05; 95% CI: 1.03-1.06) and to tracers of non-tailpipe traffic emissions such as tire and brake wear (Cu, Fe, and Zn); for PMZn, we found HR=1.06 (95% CI: 1.04-1.08) for non-accidental mortality, HR=1.07 (95% CI: 1.04-1.10) for CVD, and HR=1.11 (95% CI: 1.06-1.16) for IHD mortality. With increasing levels of nickel in PM, we found HR=1.07 (95% CI: 1.05-1.09) for non-accidental mortality, HR=1.08 (95% CI: 1.05-1.11) for CVD, and HR=1.13 (95% CI: 1.08-1.18) for IHD mortality. Results were robust when we adjusted for PM mass and for cardiovascular mortality when we adjusted for NO.
In addition to vehicular exhaust pollutants, PM related to non-tailpipe emissions and mixed oil burning/industry plays an important role in mortality.
长期暴露于颗粒物中的金属成分对死亡率的影响仍存在争议。
研究长期暴露于 PM、PM、PM 吸光度、颗粒物成分(铜、铁、锌、硫、硅、钾、镍和钒)与非意外、心血管(CVD)和缺血性心脏病(IHD)死亡率之间的关系。
所有 30 岁以上的罗马纵向研究参与者都从 2001 年 10 月开始跟踪其生命状态,直至 2010 年 12 月。我们使用土地利用回归模型来估计居住地的年平均浓度,并使用 Cox 模型来估计污染物与特定原因死亡率之间的关系,同时调整个体和背景特征。风险比(HR)表示为每个污染物分布的 5-95 百分位范围的增量。
我们分析了 1,249,108 名居民,发现所有暴露指标与死亡率之间存在强烈关联。我们观察到,随着 PM 吸光度(HR=1.05;95%CI:1.03-1.06)和非尾管排放(如轮胎和刹车片磨损)示踪剂(Cu、Fe 和 Zn)的暴露增加,死亡率风险更高;对于 PMZn,我们发现非意外死亡率的 HR=1.06(95%CI:1.04-1.08),CVD 的 HR=1.07(95%CI:1.04-1.10),IHD 死亡率的 HR=1.11(95%CI:1.06-1.16)。随着 PM 中镍含量的增加,我们发现非意外死亡率的 HR=1.07(95%CI:1.05-1.09),CVD 的 HR=1.08(95%CI:1.05-1.11),IHD 死亡率的 HR=1.13(95%CI:1.08-1.18)。当我们调整 PM 质量时,当我们调整心血管死亡率时,结果仍然稳健。
除了车辆排放污染物外,与非尾管排放和混合油燃烧/工业相关的 PM 对死亡率也有重要影响。