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儿科重症监护病房中多器官功能障碍的患病率:用于死亡率预测的小儿死亡风险Ⅲ与小儿逻辑器官功能障碍评分比较

Prevalence of multiple organ dysfunction in the pediatric intensive care unit: Pediatric Risk of Mortality III versus Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction scores for mortality prediction.

作者信息

Hamshary Azza Abd Elkader El, Sherbini Seham Awad El, Elgebaly HebatAllah Fadel, Amin Samah Abdelkrim

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo University - Cairo, Egypt.

Department of Pediatric Intensive Care, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo University - Cairo, Egypt.

出版信息

Rev Bras Ter Intensiva. 2017 Apr-Jun;29(2):206-212. doi: 10.5935/0103-507X.20170029.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To assess the frequency of primary multiple organ failure and the role of sepsis as a causative agent in critically ill pediatric patients; and calculate and evaluate the accuracy of the Pediatric Risk of Mortality III (PRISM III) and Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction (PELOD) scores to predict the outcomes of critically ill children.

METHODS

Retrospective study, which evaluated data from patients admitted from January to December 2011 in the pediatric intensive care unit of the Children's Hospital of the University of Cairo.

RESULTS

Out of 237 patients in the study, 72% had multiple organ dysfunctions, and 45% had sepsis with multiple organ dysfunctions. The mortality rate in patients with multiple organ dysfunction was 73%. Independent risk factors for death were mechanical ventilation and neurological failure [OR: 36 and 3.3, respectively]. The PRISM III score was more accurate than the PELOD score in predicting death, with a Hosmer-Lemeshow X2 (Chi-square value) of 7.3 (df = 8, p = 0.5). The area under the curve was 0.723 for PRISM III and 0.78 for PELOD.

CONCLUSION

A multiple organ dysfunctions was associated with high mortality. Sepsis was the major cause. Pneumonia, diarrhea and central nervous system infections were the major causes of sepsis. PRISM III had a better calibration than the PELOD for prognosis of the patients, despite the high frequency of the multiple organ dysfunction syndrome.

摘要

目的

评估危重症儿科患者原发性多器官功能衰竭的发生率以及脓毒症作为致病因素的作用;计算并评估小儿死亡风险Ⅲ(PRISMⅢ)和小儿逻辑器官功能障碍(PELOD)评分预测危重症儿童预后的准确性。

方法

回顾性研究,评估2011年1月至12月在开罗大学儿童医院儿科重症监护病房收治患者的数据。

结果

研究中的237例患者中,72%有多器官功能障碍,45%有脓毒症伴多器官功能障碍。多器官功能障碍患者的死亡率为73%。死亡的独立危险因素是机械通气和神经功能衰竭[比值比分别为36和3.3]。在预测死亡方面,PRISMⅢ评分比PELOD评分更准确,Hosmer-Lemeshow X2(卡方值)为7.3(自由度=8,p=0.5)。PRISMⅢ的曲线下面积为0.723,PELOD为0.78。

结论

多器官功能障碍与高死亡率相关。脓毒症是主要原因。肺炎、腹泻和中枢神经系统感染是脓毒症的主要病因。尽管多器官功能障碍综合征发生率较高,但在患者预后评估方面,PRISMⅢ比PELOD具有更好的校准度。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/630a/5496755/5512109ecf73/rbti-29-02-0206-g01.jpg

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