Chen Jing
Radiation Protection Bureau, Health Canada, 775 Brookfield Road, Ottawa, Canada K1A 1C1.
Radiat Prot Dosimetry. 2017 Nov 1;177(1-2):63-68. doi: 10.1093/rpd/ncx133.
To address public concerns regarding radon risk and variations in risk estimates based on various risk models available in the literature, lifetime lung cancer risks were calculated with five well-known risk models using more recent Canadian vital statistics (5-year averages from 2008 to 2012). Variations in population risk estimation among various models were assessed. The results showed that the Canadian population risk of radon induced lung cancer can vary from 5.0 to 17% for men and 5.1 to 18% for women based on different radon risk models. Averaged over the estimates from various risk models with better radon dosimetry, 13% of lung cancer deaths among Canadian males and 14% of lung cancer deaths among Canadian females were attributable to long-term indoor radon exposure.
为回应公众对氡风险以及基于文献中各种风险模型的风险估计差异的担忧,使用更新的加拿大人口动态统计数据(2008年至2012年的5年平均值),通过五个著名的风险模型计算了终生肺癌风险。评估了不同模型之间人群风险估计的差异。结果表明,基于不同的氡风险模型,加拿大男性因氡诱发肺癌的人群风险在5.0%至17%之间,女性在5.1%至18%之间。在各种具有更好氡剂量测定的风险模型估计值中取平均值,加拿大男性肺癌死亡病例的13%以及加拿大女性肺癌死亡病例的14%可归因于长期室内氡暴露。