School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.
School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.
Sci Total Environ. 2018 Feb 15;615:558-563. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.266. Epub 2017 Oct 6.
Previous studies have applied years of life lost (YLL) as a complementary indicator to assess the short-term effect of the air pollution on the health burden from all-cause mortality, but sparsely focused on individual diseases such as acute myocardial infraction (AMI). In this study, we aimed to conduct a time-series analysis to evaluate short-term effects of fine particulate matter (PM) on mortality and YLL from AMI in Hong Kong from 2011 to 2015, and explore the potential effect modifiers including sex and age by subgroup analysis. We applied generalized additive Poisson and Gaussian regression model for daily death count and YLL, respectively. We found that 10μg/m increment in concentration of PM lasting for two days (lag) was associated with a 2.35% (95% CI 0.38% to 4.36%) increase in daily mortality count and a 1.69 (95% CI 0.01 to 3.37) years increase in YLL from AMI. The association between PM and AMI mortality count was stronger among women and older people than men and young people, respectively. We concluded that acute exposure to PM may increase the risk of mortality and YLL from AMI in Hong Kong and this effect can be modified by age and gender. These findings add to the evidence base for public health policy formulation and resource allocation.
先前的研究已经应用了生命损失年数(YLL)作为补充指标,以评估空气污染对全因死亡率所致健康负担的短期影响,但很少关注急性心肌梗死(AMI)等个别疾病。本研究旨在进行时间序列分析,以评估 2011 年至 2015 年香港细颗粒物(PM)对 AMI 死亡率和 YLL 的短期影响,并通过亚组分析探讨性别和年龄等潜在的效应修饰因素。我们分别应用广义加性泊松和高斯回归模型来分析每日死亡人数和 YLL。我们发现,浓度升高 10μg/m 的 PM 持续两天(滞后)与每日死亡率增加 2.35%(95%CI 0.38%至 4.36%)和 AMI 的 YLL 增加 1.69 年(95%CI 0.01 至 3.37 年)相关。PM 与 AMI 死亡率之间的关联在女性和老年人中比男性和年轻人中更强。我们的结论是,急性暴露于 PM 可能会增加香港 AMI 死亡率和 YLL 的风险,这种效应可以通过年龄和性别进行修饰。这些发现为公共卫生政策制定和资源分配提供了更多的证据基础。