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中国国内人口迁移、离婚与幸福感的纵向分析

A LONGITUDINAL ANALYSIS OF INTERNAL MIGRATION, DIVORCE AND WELL-BEING IN CHINA.

作者信息

Bhargava Alok, Tan Xiayun

机构信息

*University of Maryland,Washington,DC,USA.

†The World Bank,Washington,DC,USA.

出版信息

J Biosoc Sci. 2018 Sep;50(5):706-722. doi: 10.1017/S0021932017000499. Epub 2017 Oct 9.

Abstract

The rapid economic growth in China has been accompanied by increases in internal migration as well as marital dissolution. Using longitudinal data from China Health and Nutrition Surveys covering over 19,000 individuals during 1989-2011, this study modelled the inter-relationships between internal migration, divorce and individual well-being, tackling conceptual and methodological aspects such as the joint determination of variables. First, random effects probit models showed that the migration periods of husbands and wives significantly increased their respective chances of divorce. Second, results from dynamic random effects models for self-reported health showed different effects of separation periods for husbands and wives; divorce did not significantly lower health status. Third, dynamic models for systolic and diastolic blood pressures showed significant effects of migration durations of husbands and wives; men had lower systolic blood pressure following divorce thereby indicating beneficial effects for unhappily married couples. The implications of the findings are discussed.

摘要

中国经济的快速增长伴随着国内人口迁移以及婚姻解体现象的增加。本研究利用中国健康与营养调查的纵向数据,该数据涵盖了1989年至2011年期间的19000多名个体,对国内人口迁移、离婚与个人幸福感之间的相互关系进行了建模,解决了诸如变量的联合决定等概念和方法方面的问题。首先,随机效应概率模型表明,丈夫和妻子的迁移期显著增加了他们各自离婚的可能性。其次,自我报告健康状况的动态随机效应模型结果显示,丈夫和妻子分居期的影响不同;离婚并没有显著降低健康状况。第三,收缩压和舒张压的动态模型显示,丈夫和妻子的迁移持续时间有显著影响;男性离婚后收缩压较低,这表明对婚姻不幸福的夫妻有有益影响。文中讨论了这些研究结果的意义。

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