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具有多个治疗组、多次访视和多个终点的验证性临床试验中的统计设计。

Statistical planning in confirmatory clinical trials with multiple treatment groups, multiple visits, and multiple endpoints.

作者信息

Sun Hengrui, Snyder Ellen, Koch Gary G

机构信息

a Department of Biostatistics , University of North Carolina , Chapel Hill , NC , USA.

b Merck & Co. Inc ., Kenilworth , NJ , USA.

出版信息

J Biopharm Stat. 2018;28(1):189-211. doi: 10.1080/10543406.2017.1378664. Epub 2017 Nov 6.

Abstract

Multiplicity issues can be multidimensional: A confirmatory clinical trial may be designed to have efficacy assessed with two or more primary endpoints, for multiple dose groups, and at several post-baseline visits. Controlling for multiplicity in this situation is challenging because there can be a hierarchy with respect to some but not all measurements. If the higher dose is considered more efficacious, multiplicity approach may evaluate the higher dose with higher priority through a fixed sequential testing framework for dose assessments in combination with a Hochberg approach for endpoints. The lower dose is only assessed when the higher dose has significant results, which reduces the power for detecting signals in the lower dose group. However, in some instances the higher dose may associate with tolerability or safety concerns that preclude regulatory approval. A real confirmatory clinical trial with such challenges is provided as an illustrative example. We discuss closed testing procedures based on multi-way averages of comparisons for this complex multiplicity situation through illustrative case analyses and a simulation study. Such strategies manage the higher dose and the lower dose with equal priority, and they enable evaluation of the multiple endpoints at multiple visits collectively with power being reasonably high.

摘要

多重性问题可能是多维度的

一项确证性临床试验可能被设计为通过两个或更多主要终点、针对多个剂量组以及在基线后的几次访视来评估疗效。在这种情况下控制多重性具有挑战性,因为在某些但并非所有测量方面可能存在层次结构。如果较高剂量被认为更有效,多重性方法可能会通过用于剂量评估的固定序贯检验框架结合用于终点的霍奇伯格方法,以更高的优先级评估较高剂量。只有当较高剂量有显著结果时才评估较低剂量,这会降低在较低剂量组中检测信号的效能。然而,在某些情况下,较高剂量可能与耐受性或安全性问题相关,从而妨碍监管批准。本文提供了一个具有此类挑战的真实确证性临床试验作为示例。我们通过示例案例分析和模拟研究,讨论基于比较的多向均值的封闭检验程序,以应对这种复杂的多重性情况。此类策略以同等优先级管理较高剂量和较低剂量,并且能够以相当高的效能共同评估多次访视时的多个终点。

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