Bayer AG, Crop Science Division, Frankfurt/Main, Germany.
Pest Manag Sci. 2018 Oct;74(10):2211-2215. doi: 10.1002/ps.4768. Epub 2017 Dec 6.
According to the United Nations, the global population is expected to grow to almost 10 billion people in 2050. This means that the demand for food, feed and fiber will double while at the same time, agriculture is being challenged by a scarcity of water, global warming, less land available for farming, protection of natural habitats, a demand for biodiversity on farms and other factors. In addition, crop protection products are under pressure from rapidly spreading resistance and increasing regulatory requirements. Many regulatory bodies are also moving away from a risk assessment approach to a more hazard-based approach to grant registrations. Nevertheless, chemical crop protection compounds remain attractive and necessary to combat pests, particularly weeds. Industry has increased its efforts to find new molecules that are highly biologically effective on target species, including resistant populations, but safe for non-target organisms. To manage resistance in the future, a diverse toolbox is needed that includes herbicides with a variety of different chemistries and modes of action, combined with non-chemical measures in integrated systems. However, discovering a herbicide and getting it registered and to the market is an extremely complex endeavor full of risk, much of it incalculable. © 2017 Society of Chemical Industry.
据联合国预计,到 2050 年,全球人口将增长至近 100 亿。这意味着对食物、饲料和纤维的需求将增加一倍,与此同时,农业正面临水资源短缺、全球变暖、可用于耕种的土地减少、自然栖息地保护、对农场生物多样性的需求以及其他因素的挑战。此外,作物保护产品面临着抗药性迅速蔓延和监管要求不断提高的压力。许多监管机构正在从风险评估方法转向更基于危害的方法来授予注册。尽管如此,化学作物保护化合物仍然具有吸引力,并且对于防治害虫,特别是杂草,仍然是必要的。业界已加大力度寻找对目标物种(包括抗性种群)具有高度生物有效性但对非目标生物安全的新分子。为了在未来管理抗药性,需要一个多样化的工具包,其中包括具有各种不同化学性质和作用方式的除草剂,并结合综合系统中的非化学措施。然而,发现一种除草剂并将其注册并推向市场是一项极其复杂的风险投资,其中大部分风险是不可估量的。© 2017 英国化学工业协会。