Huang P X, Wang N, Qian J H, Jiang F, Yang Y L, Lin W Y, Zhao Q, Zhao G M, Jiang Q W
Haimen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Haimen 226121, China.
Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai 200032, China.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2017 Oct 10;38(10):1376-1379. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2017.10.016.
A prospective cohort study was carried out to assess the mortality and potential risk factors for primary liver cancer (PLC) in Haimen city of Jiangsu province. The cohort involved 89 789 adult residents aged 25-69 years. Upon the entry of this project, each subject was asked to complete a questionnaire and to provide a blood sample of 10 ml. Surface antigen of hepatitis B virus (HBsAg) was tested by radioimmunoassay. All the subjects were followed-up every year for vital statistics and death certificate information until 2014. Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the hazard ratio () and 95 confidence interval (95) for PLC mortality associated with HBsAg status and other risk factors. During the 1 299 611 person-years of follow-up, a total of 2 583 PLC cases were identified, including 2 149 men and 434 women. Mortality of the PLC for men and women were 247.80/100 000 person-years and 100.38/100 000 person-years, respectively. Among those who died of PLC, 73.87 had been tested HBsAg positive. HBV infection seemed the predominant risk factor for PLC and the s were 15.97 for men (95: 14.29-17.85) and 21.63 for women (95: 16.16-28.96) respectively. Ageing, cigarette smoking, previous history of hepatitis, and family history of HCC were factors associated with the increased risk for PLC. People living in Haimen city had a high risk on PLC. HBV infection appeared the most important risk factor for HCC mortality in this area.
开展了一项前瞻性队列研究,以评估江苏省海门市原发性肝癌(PLC)的死亡率及潜在风险因素。该队列纳入了89789名年龄在25至69岁的成年居民。在本项目开始时,要求每位受试者填写一份问卷并提供10毫升血液样本。采用放射免疫分析法检测乙肝病毒表面抗原(HBsAg)。对所有受试者每年进行随访,获取人口动态统计和死亡证明信息,直至2014年。采用Cox比例风险模型估计与HBsAg状态及其他风险因素相关的PLC死亡风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(95%CI)。在1299611人年的随访期间,共确诊2583例PLC病例,其中男性2149例,女性434例。男性和女性的PLC死亡率分别为247.80/10万 人年和100.38/10万 人年。在死于PLC的患者中,73.87%的人HBsAg检测呈阳性。HBV感染似乎是PLC的主要风险因素,男性的HR为15.97(95%CI:14.29 - 17.85),女性为21.63(95%CI:16.16 - 28.96)。衰老、吸烟、既往肝炎病史和HCC家族史是与PLC风险增加相关的因素。生活在海门市的人群患PLC的风险较高。HBV感染似乎是该地区HCC死亡的最重要风险因素。