对囊性纤维化患者进行结直肠癌筛查的成本效益分析。

Cost Effectiveness of Screening Individuals With Cystic Fibrosis for Colorectal Cancer.

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.

出版信息

Gastroenterology. 2018 Feb;154(3):556-567.e18. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2017.10.036. Epub 2017 Nov 2.

Abstract

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Individuals with cystic fibrosis are at increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) compared with the general population, and risk is higher among those who received an organ transplant. We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis to determine optimal CRC screening strategies for patients with cystic fibrosis.

METHODS

We adjusted the existing Microsimulation Screening Analysis-Colon model to reflect increased CRC risk and lower life expectancy in patients with cystic fibrosis. Modeling was performed separately for individuals who never received an organ transplant and patients who had received an organ transplant. We modeled 76 colonoscopy screening strategies that varied the age range and screening interval. The optimal screening strategy was determined based on a willingness to pay threshold of $100,000 per life-year gained. Sensitivity and supplementary analyses were performed, including fecal immunochemical test (FIT) as an alternative test, earlier ages of transplantation, and increased rates of colonoscopy complications, to assess if optimal screening strategies would change.

RESULTS

Colonoscopy every 5 years, starting at an age of 40 years, was the optimal colonoscopy strategy for patients with cystic fibrosis who never received an organ transplant; this strategy prevented 79% of deaths from CRC. Among patients with cystic fibrosis who had received an organ transplant, optimal colonoscopy screening should start at an age of 30 or 35 years, depending on the patient's age at time of transplantation. Annual FIT screening was predicted to be cost-effective for patients with cystic fibrosis. However, the level of accuracy of the FIT in this population is not clear.

CONCLUSIONS

Using a Microsimulation Screening Analysis-Colon model, we found screening of patients with cystic fibrosis for CRC to be cost effective. Because of the higher risk of CRC in these patients, screening should start at an earlier age with a shorter screening interval. The findings of this study (especially those on FIT screening) may be limited by restricted evidence available for patients with cystic fibrosis.

摘要

背景与目的

与普通人群相比,囊性纤维化患者患结直肠癌(CRC)的风险增加,而接受过器官移植的患者风险更高。我们进行了一项成本效益分析,以确定囊性纤维化患者的最佳 CRC 筛查策略。

方法

我们调整了现有的 Microsimulation Screening Analysis-Colon 模型,以反映囊性纤维化患者 CRC 风险增加和预期寿命降低。分别对从未接受过器官移植和接受过器官移植的患者进行建模。我们构建了 76 种结肠镜检查筛查策略,这些策略的年龄范围和筛查间隔各不相同。基于每获得 1 个生命年愿意支付 10 万美元的意愿支付阈值来确定最佳筛查策略。进行了敏感性和补充分析,包括粪便免疫化学试验(FIT)作为替代试验、更早的移植年龄和更高的结肠镜检查并发症发生率,以评估最佳筛查策略是否会发生变化。

结果

对于从未接受过器官移植的囊性纤维化患者,每 5 年进行一次结肠镜检查,起始年龄为 40 岁,是最佳的结肠镜检查策略;该策略可预防 79%的 CRC 死亡。对于接受过器官移植的囊性纤维化患者,最佳结肠镜检查筛查应在 30 或 35 岁开始,具体取决于患者移植时的年龄。对于囊性纤维化患者,每年进行 FIT 筛查被预测为具有成本效益。然而,这种人群中 FIT 的准确性水平尚不清楚。

结论

使用 Microsimulation Screening Analysis-Colon 模型,我们发现对 CRC 进行囊性纤维化患者筛查具有成本效益。由于这些患者 CRC 的风险较高,因此应在更年轻时开始更短间隔的筛查。本研究的结果(尤其是关于 FIT 筛查的结果)可能受到囊性纤维化患者可用证据有限的限制。

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