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使用急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统(APACHE II)对癫痫持续状态患者进行死亡率预测。

Mortality prediction in status epilepticus with the APACHE II score.

作者信息

Cheng Jocelyn Y

机构信息

New York University Langone Comprehensive Epilepsy Center, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.

出版信息

J Intensive Care Soc. 2017 Nov;18(4):310-317. doi: 10.1177/1751143717715967. Epub 2017 Jun 26.

Abstract

A retrospective study was performed of adults admitted to the intensive care unit in order to determine the utility of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score in predicting in-hospital mortality in intensive care unit patients with non-cardiac status epilepticus. The cohort consisted of 104 subjects, 50 (48.1%) male, 39 (37.5%) aged ≥65 years, with a mean APACHE II score of 17.88. Four models of the APACHE II system were assessed: numerical score, adjusted score mortality, category, and category mortality. All models demonstrated poor calibration and discrimination, even after adjustment for significantly different covariates. There were independent associations between mortality and acute or toxic-metabolic seizure etiologies, myoclonic seizures, and postoperative status. After multivariate adjustment, only the association with toxic-metabolic seizure etiologies remained. The APACHE II score is a poor predictor of mortality in intensive care unit patients with status epilepticus. Further investigation is warranted to develop better measures of acute physiological disease severity in status epilepticus and its impact on mortality.

摘要

为了确定急性生理学与慢性健康状况评估II(APACHE II)评分在预测非心脏性癫痫持续状态的重症监护病房患者院内死亡率方面的效用,对入住重症监护病房的成年人进行了一项回顾性研究。该队列由104名受试者组成,其中50名(48.1%)为男性,39名(37.5%)年龄≥65岁,APACHE II评分的平均值为17.88。对APACHE II系统的四种模型进行了评估:数值评分、调整后的评分死亡率、类别以及类别死亡率。即使在对显著不同的协变量进行调整之后,所有模型的校准和判别能力均较差。死亡率与急性或中毒性代谢性癫痫病因、肌阵挛性癫痫发作以及术后状态之间存在独立关联。经过多变量调整后,仅与中毒性代谢性癫痫病因的关联仍然存在。APACHE II评分在癫痫持续状态的重症监护病房患者中对死亡率的预测能力较差。有必要进行进一步研究,以制定更好的评估癫痫持续状态时急性生理疾病严重程度及其对死亡率影响的方法。

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