Department of Surgical Oncology and General Surgery, The First Hospital of China Medical University, 155 North Nanjing Street, Heping District, Shenyang City, 110001, People's Republic of China.
Department of Breast Surgery, The First Hospital of China Medical University, 155 North Nanjing Street, Heping District, Shenyang City, 110001, People's Republic of China.
BMC Cancer. 2017 Nov 10;17(1):744. doi: 10.1186/s12885-017-3752-0.
Growing evidence has indicated that some inflammatory markers, including lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI), can be used as indicators in the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, there is controversy concerning what is the best predictor of prognosis in CRC.
A cohort of 1744 CRC patients in our institution was analyzed retrospectively. Harrell's concordance index (c-index) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were used to determine the optimal cut-off values of inflammatory markers and compare their predictive capacity. The association of inflammatory markers with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier methods with log-rank test, followed by multivariate Cox proportional hazards model.
The multivariate analysis indicated that among these inflammatory markers, NLR (< 2.0 vs. ≥ 2.0) was the only independent prognostic factor for poor OS [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.758, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = 0.598-0.960, P = 0.021)] and CSS (HR = 0.738, 95% CI = 0.573-0.950, P = 0.018). Among these inflammatory markers, the c-index and BIC value for NLR were maximum and minimum for OS, respectively. In addition, the c-index was higher and the BIC value was smaller in TNM staging combined with NLR compared with the values obtained in TNM staging alone.
NLR is a superior indicator of prognosis compared with LMR, PLR, and PNI in CRC patients, and NLR may serve as an additional indicator based on the current tumor staging system.
越来越多的证据表明,一些炎症标志物,包括淋巴细胞与单核细胞比值(LMR)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)和预后营养指数(PNI),可作为结直肠癌(CRC)预后的指标。然而,哪种标志物是 CRC 预后的最佳预测指标仍存在争议。
回顾性分析了我院 1744 例 CRC 患者的队列。采用 Harrell 一致性指数(c-index)和贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)确定炎症标志物的最佳截断值,并比较其预测能力。采用 Kaplan-Meier 方法和对数秩检验分析炎症标志物与总生存(OS)和癌症特异性生存(CSS)的关系,然后采用多变量 Cox 比例风险模型进行分析。
多变量分析表明,在这些炎症标志物中,NLR(<2.0 与≥2.0)是 OS 不良的唯一独立预后因素[风险比(HR)=0.758,95%置信区间(CI)=0.598-0.960,P=0.021]和 CSS(HR=0.738,95%CI=0.573-0.950,P=0.018)。在这些炎症标志物中,NLR 的 c-index 和 BIC 值分别为 OS 和 CSS 的最大值和最小值。此外,与单独 TNM 分期相比,TNM 分期联合 NLR 的 c-index 更高,BIC 值更小。
与 LMR、PLR 和 PNI 相比,NLR 是 CRC 患者预后的更好指标,NLR 可能是基于当前肿瘤分期系统的附加指标。