Institute of Health and Environment and Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, 1 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, 151-742, South Korea.
Building 221, Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Gwanak-gu, Seoul 151-742, South Korea.
Sci Total Environ. 2018 Mar;616-617:688-694. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.260. Epub 2017 Nov 7.
The association between high temperature and mental disease has been the focus of several studies worldwide. However, no studies have focused on the mental disease burden attributable to hot temperature. Here, we aim to quantify the risk attributed to hot temperatures based on the exposure-lag-response relationship between temperature and mental diseases.
From data on daily temperature and emergency admissions (EA) for mental diseases collected from 6 major cities (Seoul, Incheon, Daejeon, Daegu, Busan, and Gwangju in South Korea) over a period of 11years (2003-2013), we estimated temperature-disease associations using a distributed lag non-linear model, and we pooled the data by city through multivariate meta-analysis. Cumulative relative risk and attributable risks were calculated for extreme hot temperatures, defined as the 99th percentile relative to the 50th percentile of temperatures.
The strongest association between mental disease and high temperature was seen within a period of 0-4days of high temperature exposure. Our results reveal that 14.6% of EA for mental disease were due to extreme hot temperatures, and the elderly were more susceptible (19.1%). Specific mental diseases, including anxiety, dementia, schizophrenia, and depression, also showed significant risk attributed to hot temperatures. Of all EA for anxiety, 31.6% were attributed to extremely hot temperatures.
High temperature was responsible for an attributable risk for mental disease, and the burden was higher in the elderly. This finding has important implications for designing appropriate public health policies to minimize the impact of high temperature on mental health.
高温与精神疾病之间的关联一直是全球多项研究的焦点。然而,目前还没有研究关注高温导致的精神疾病负担。在这里,我们旨在根据温度与精神疾病之间的暴露-滞后-反应关系,量化高温所带来的风险。
我们从韩国 6 个主要城市(首尔、仁川、大田、大邱、釜山和光州)在 11 年期间(2003-2013 年)收集的每日温度和精神疾病急诊入院(EA)数据中,使用分布滞后非线性模型估计温度与疾病之间的关联,并通过多元荟萃分析对城市数据进行汇总。对于极端高温(定义为相对于 50 分位数的第 99 百分位数),我们计算了累积相对风险和归因风险。
精神疾病与高温之间最强的关联出现在高温暴露后的 0-4 天内。我们的研究结果表明,14.6%的精神疾病 EA 归因于极端高温,而老年人更容易受到影响(19.1%)。特定的精神疾病,包括焦虑、痴呆、精神分裂症和抑郁症,也显示出与高温相关的显著风险。在所有的焦虑 EA 中,有 31.6%归因于极端高温。
高温导致了精神疾病的归因风险,且老年人的负担更高。这一发现对于制定适当的公共卫生政策以减轻高温对心理健康的影响具有重要意义。