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关于贝叶斯方法在活体个体法医年龄估计中的应用。

On the Bayesian approach to forensic age estimation of living individuals.

作者信息

Sironi Emanuele, Vuille Joëlle, Morling Niels, Taroni Franco

机构信息

University of Lausanne, School of Criminal Justice, Lausanne-Dorigny, Switzerland.

University of Neuchâtel, Faculty of Law, Neuchâtel, Switzerland.

出版信息

Forensic Sci Int. 2017 Dec;281:e24-e29. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2017.11.007. Epub 2017 Nov 11.

Abstract

Forensic age estimation, a branch of forensic science, has received renewed attention lately mainly due to societal migration phenomena. And yet, the interpretation of age-related evidence is still largely neglected as a field, the literature being usually limited to technical discussions strictly pertaining to the statistical methodologies to be used in estimation process. This short communication aims to highlight the fundamental role of evidence evaluation and interpretation in forensic age estimation. We illustrate why the Bayesian approach represents the best choice in such a perspective.

摘要

法医年龄估计作为法医学的一个分支,近来主要由于社会迁移现象而重新受到关注。然而,作为一个领域,与年龄相关证据的解释在很大程度上仍被忽视,相关文献通常仅限于严格与估计过程中使用的统计方法有关的技术讨论。本简短通讯旨在强调证据评估和解释在法医年龄估计中的基本作用。我们阐述了为何从这一角度来看贝叶斯方法是最佳选择。

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