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京津冀地区城市高分辨率碳排放清单的基础数据源:空间格局、分解及政策启示。

Source data supported high resolution carbon emissions inventory for urban areas of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region: Spatial patterns, decomposition and policy implications.

机构信息

Center for Climate Change and Environmental Policy, Chinese Academy for Environmental Planning, No. 8 Da Yang Fang, Bei Yuan Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100012, China.

Department of Public Policy, City University of Hong Kong, 83 Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2018 Jan 15;206:786-799. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.11.038. Epub 2017 Nov 22.

Abstract

This paper developed internationally compatible methods for delineating boundaries of urban areas in China. By integrating emission source data with existing official statistics as well as using rescaling methodology of data mapping for 1 km grid, the authors constructed high resolution emission gridded data in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (Jing-Jin-Ji) region in China for 2012. Comparisons between urban and non-urban areas of carbon emissions from industry, agriculture, household and transport exhibited regional disparities as well as sectoral differences. Except for the Hebei province, per capita total direct carbon emissions from urban extents in Beijing and Tianjin were both lower than provincial averages, indicating the climate benefit of urbanization, comparable to results from developed countries. Urban extents in the Hebei province were mainly industrial centers while those in Beijing and Tianjin were more service oriented. Further decomposition analysis revealed population to be a common major driver for increased carbon emissions but climate implications of urban design, economic productivity of land use, and carbon intensity of GDP were both cluster- and sector-specific. This study disapproves the one-size-fits-all solution for carbon mitigation but calls for down-scaled analysis of carbon emissions and formulation of localized carbon reduction strategies in the Jing-Jin-Ji as well as other regions in China.

摘要

本文提出了一套与国际接轨的中国城区边界界定方法。通过将排放源数据与现有官方统计数据相结合,并利用数据映射的重新定标方法进行 1km 网格划分,作者构建了中国京津冀地区 2012 年高分辨率排放网格化数据。对工业、农业、家庭和交通领域的城区和非城区碳排放进行比较,发现存在区域差异和部门差异。除河北省外,北京和天津城区的人均直接碳排放总量均低于全省平均水平,表明城市化带来了气候效益,与发达国家的情况相当。河北省的城区扩展主要是工业中心,而北京和天津的城区扩展则更加以服务业为主。进一步的分解分析表明,人口是导致碳排放增加的共同主要驱动因素,但城市设计、土地利用的经济生产力和 GDP 的碳强度对碳排放的影响具有聚类和部门特异性。本研究不赞成一刀切的减排解决方案,而是呼吁对京津冀及中国其他地区的碳排放进行精细化分析,并制定本地化的碳减排策略。

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