Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, Rome, Italy.
Decio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, Rome, Italy.
Environ Int. 2018 Mar;112:68-76. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2017.12.007. Epub 2017 Dec 16.
The few cohort studies that have investigated the association between exposure to air pollution and occurrence of diabetes have reported conflicting results. We aimed to evaluate the association of long-term exposure to particulate matter (PM), nitrogen oxides (NO) and ozone (O), with baseline prevalence and incidence of type 2 diabetes in a large administrative cohort in Rome, Italy. A total of 1,425,580 subjects aged 35+years (January 1st, 2008) were assessed and followed for six years. We estimated PM, PM, PM, NO, and NO exposures at residence using land use regression models, and summer O exposure using dispersion modeling. To estimate the association between air pollutant exposures and prevalence and incidence of diabetes, we used logistic and Cox regression models, considering individual, environmental (noise and green areas), and contextual characteristics. We identified 106,387 prevalent cases at baseline and 65,955 incident cases during the follow-up period. We found positive associations between nitrogen oxides exposures and prevalence of diabetes with odds ratios (ORs) up to 1.010 (95% CI: 1.002, 1.017) and 1.015 (1.009, 1.021) for NO and NOx, respectively, per fixed increases (per 10μg/m and 20μg/m, respectively). We also found some evidence of an association between NOx and O and incidence of diabetes, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.011 (95%CI: 1.003-1.019) and 1.015 (1.002-1.027) per 20 and 10μg/m increases, respectively. The association with O with incident diabetes was stronger in women than in men and among those aged <50years. In sum, long-term exposure to nitrogen oxides was associated with prevalent diabetes while NOx and O exposures were associated with incident diabetes.
少数队列研究调查了空气污染暴露与糖尿病发生之间的关系,报告结果相互矛盾。我们旨在评估长期暴露于颗粒物(PM)、氮氧化物(NO)和臭氧(O)与意大利罗马大型行政队列中 2 型糖尿病的基线患病率和发病率之间的关联。共有 1425580 名年龄在 35 岁以上(2008 年 1 月 1 日)的受试者接受了评估,并随访了六年。我们使用土地利用回归模型评估了居住地的 PM、PM、PM、NO 和 NO 暴露情况,并使用扩散模型评估了夏季 O 暴露情况。为了评估空气污染物暴露与糖尿病患病率和发病率之间的关联,我们使用逻辑回归和 Cox 回归模型,考虑了个体、环境(噪声和绿地)和背景特征。我们在基线时发现了 106387 例现患病例,在随访期间发现了 65955 例新发病例。我们发现,氮氧化物暴露与糖尿病患病率呈正相关,OR 最高可达 1.010(95%CI:1.002,1.017)和 1.015(1.009,1.021),分别为每固定增加(分别为每增加 10μg/m 和 20μg/m)。我们还发现一些证据表明,NOx 和 O 与糖尿病的发病率之间存在关联,HR 分别为 1.011(95%CI:1.003-1.019)和 1.015(1.002-1.027),每增加 20μg/m 和 10μg/m。O 与女性和<50 岁人群的糖尿病发病率之间的关联比男性更强。总之,长期暴露于氮氧化物与糖尿病的现患相关,而 NOx 和 O 的暴露与糖尿病的发病相关。