Instituto Carlos I de Física Teórica y Computacional and Departamento Electromagnetismo y Física de la Materia, Universidad de Granada, 18071 Granada, Spain.
Dipartimento di Fisica "G. Galilei" and CNISM, INFN, Università di Padova, Via Marzolo 8, 35131 Padova, Italy.
Phys Rev E. 2017 Oct;96(4-1):042301. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.96.042301. Epub 2017 Oct 2.
Variability on external conditions has important consequences for the dynamics and the organization of biological systems. In many cases, the characteristic timescale of environmental changes as well as their correlations play a fundamental role in the way living systems adapt and respond to it. A proper mathematical approach to understand population dynamics, thus, requires approaches more refined than, e.g., simple white-noise approximations. To shed further light onto this problem, in this paper we propose a unifying framework based on different analytical and numerical tools available to deal with "colored" environmental noise. In particular, we employ a "unified colored noise approximation" to map the original problem into an effective one with white noise, and then we apply a standard path integral approach to gain analytical understanding. For the sake of specificity, we present our approach using as a guideline a variation of the contact process-which can also be seen as a birth-death process of the Malthus-Verhulst class-where the propagation or birth rate varies stochastically in time. Our approach allows us to tackle in a systematic manner some of the relevant questions concerning population dynamics under environmental variability, such as determining the stationary population density, establishing the conditions under which a population may become extinct, and estimating extinction times. We focus on the emerging phase diagram and its possible phase transitions, underlying how these are affected by the presence of environmental noise time-correlations.
外部条件的可变性对生物系统的动力学和组织有重要影响。在许多情况下,环境变化的特征时间尺度及其相关性在生物系统适应和响应环境变化的方式中起着至关重要的作用。因此,要理解种群动态,需要采用比简单的白噪声近似等更为精细的数学方法。为了进一步阐明这个问题,本文提出了一个基于不同分析和数值工具的统一框架,以处理“有色”环境噪声。具体来说,我们采用“统一的有色噪声近似”将原始问题映射到具有白噪声的有效问题,然后应用标准路径积分方法获得解析理解。为了具体说明,我们以接触过程的一种变体为例,提出了我们的方法-它也可以被看作是马尔萨斯-范赫尔斯特类的出生-死亡过程-其中传播或出生率随时间随机变化。我们的方法允许我们系统地解决一些有关环境变化下种群动态的相关问题,例如确定静态种群密度、确定种群可能灭绝的条件以及估计灭绝时间。我们关注新兴的相图及其可能的相变,以及环境噪声时间相关性如何影响这些相变。