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识别影响孟加拉国避孕措施使用的因素:来自孟加拉国卫生和家庭福利调查 2014 年数据的证据。

Identifying factors influencing contraceptive use in Bangladesh: evidence from BDHS 2014 data.

机构信息

BRAC Research and Evaluation Division, BRAC Center, 75 Mohakhali, Dhaka, 1212, Bangladesh.

Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT), University of Dhaka, Dhaka, 1000, Bangladesh.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2018 Jan 30;18(1):192. doi: 10.1186/s12889-018-5098-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Birth control is the conscious control of the birth rate by methods which temporarily prevent conception by interfering with the normal process of ovulation, fertilization, and implantation. High contraceptive prevalence rate is always expected for controlling births for those countries that are experiencing high population growth rate. The factors that influence contraceptive prevalence are also important to know for policy implication purposes in Bangladesh. This study aims to explore the socio-economic, demographic and others key factors that influence the use of contraception in Bangladesh.

METHODS

The contraception data are extracted from the 2014 Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS) data which were collected by using a two stage stratified random sampling technique that is a source of nested variability. The nested sources of variability must be incorporated in the model using random effects in order to model the actual parameter effects on contraceptive prevalence. A mixed effect logistic regression model has been implemented for the binary contraceptive data, where parameters are estimated through generalized estimating equation by assuming exchangeable correlation structure to explore and identify the factors that truly affect the use of contraception in Bangladesh.

RESULTS

The prevalence of contraception use by currently married 15-49 years aged women or their husbands is 62.4%. Our study finds that administrative division, place of residence, religion, number of household members, woman's age, occupation, body mass index, breastfeeding practice, husband's education, wish for children, living status with wife, sexual activity in past year, women amenorrheic status, abstaining status, number of children born in last five years and total children ever died were significantly associated with contraception use in Bangladesh.

CONCLUSIONS

The odds of women experiencing the outcome of interest are not independent due to the nested structure of the data. As a result, a mixed effect model is implemented for the binary variable 'contraceptive use' to produce true estimates for the significant determinants of contraceptive use in Bangladesh. Knowing such true estimates is important for attaining future goals including increasing contraception use from 62 to 75% by 2020 by the Bangladesh government's Health, Population & Nutrition Sector Development Program (HPNSDP).

摘要

背景

避孕是通过暂时阻止受孕来控制出生率的一种有意识的方法,方法是通过干扰正常的排卵、受精和着床过程来实现。对于那些人口增长率较高的国家,通常期望通过控制生育来实现高避孕普及率。影响避孕普及率的因素也很重要,因为这对于孟加拉国的政策制定具有启示意义。本研究旨在探讨影响孟加拉国避孕措施使用的社会经济、人口和其他关键因素。

方法

避孕数据来自 2014 年孟加拉国人口与健康调查(BDHS)的数据,这些数据是通过两阶段分层随机抽样技术收集的,这是嵌套变异性的来源。嵌套变异性来源必须通过随机效应纳入模型,以便对实际参数对避孕普及率的影响进行建模。对二元避孕数据实施了混合效应逻辑回归模型,其中参数通过广义估计方程进行估计,假设可交换相关结构,以探索和确定真正影响孟加拉国避孕措施使用的因素。

结果

目前已婚 15-49 岁妇女或其丈夫的避孕使用率为 62.4%。我们的研究发现,行政区域、居住地点、宗教、家庭人口数、妇女年龄、职业、体重指数、母乳喂养实践、丈夫教育程度、生育愿望、与妻子的生活状况、过去一年的性行为、妇女闭经状况、禁欲状况、过去五年内出生的子女数和总死亡儿童数与孟加拉国的避孕使用显著相关。

结论

由于数据的嵌套结构,经历感兴趣结果的妇女的几率不是独立的。因此,对二元变量“避孕使用”实施混合效应模型,以产生孟加拉国避孕使用的显著决定因素的真实估计值。了解这些真实估计值对于实现未来目标很重要,包括孟加拉国政府的卫生、人口和营养部门发展计划(HPNSDP)在 2020 年前将避孕普及率从 62%提高到 75%。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ba9d/5789662/c221bacbece8/12889_2018_5098_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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