Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Veritas Health Economics Consulting, Carlsbad, CA, USA.
J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol. 2018 Apr;29(4):526-536. doi: 10.1111/jce.13449. Epub 2018 Mar 7.
Although ablation with focal impulse and rotor modulation (FIRM), as an adjunct to pulmonary vein isolation (PVI), has been shown to decrease atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence, cost-effectiveness has not been assessed.
We aimed to evaluate the cost effectiveness of FIRM-guided ablation when added to PVI in a mixed AF population.
We used a Markov model to estimate the costs, quality-adjusted survival, and cost effectiveness of adding FIRM ablation to PVI. AF recurrence rates were based on 3-year data from the CONFIRM trial. Model inputs for event probabilities and utilities were obtained from literature review. Costs were based on Medicare reimbursement, wholesale acquisition costs, and literature review. Three-year total costs FIRM+PVI versus PVI alone were $27,686 versus $26,924. QALYs were 2.338 versus 2.316, respectively, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $34,452 per QALY gained. Most of the cost (65-81%) was related to the index ablation procedure. Lower AF recurrence generated cost offsets of $4,266, primarily due to a reduced need for medications and repeat ablation. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated ICER below $100,000/QALY in 74% of simulations.
Based on data from the CONFIRM study, the addition of FIRM to PVI does have the potential to be cost-effective due to higher quality-adjusted life years and lower follow-up costs. Value is sensitive to the incremental reduction in AF recurrence, and FIRM may have the greatest economic value in patients with greater AF symptom severity. Results from ongoing randomized trials will provide further clarity.
虽然基于焦点冲动和转子调制(FIRM)的消融作为肺静脉隔离(PVI)的辅助手段,已经显示可以降低心房颤动(AF)的复发率,但尚未评估其成本效益。
我们旨在评估在混合 AF 人群中,将 FIRM 引导消融添加到 PVI 中的成本效益。
我们使用马尔可夫模型来估计添加 FIRM 消融对 PVI 的成本、质量调整生存和成本效益。AF 复发率基于 CONFIRM 试验的 3 年数据。模型输入的事件概率和效用来自文献综述。成本基于医疗保险报销、批发采购成本和文献综述。与单独进行 PVI 相比,FIRM+PVI 的 3 年总成本为 27686 美元,而 PVI 为 26924 美元。QALYs 分别为 2.338 和 2.316,增量成本效益比(ICER)为每增加一个 QALY 花费 34452 美元。大部分成本(65-81%)与指数消融程序有关。较低的 AF 复发率产生了 4266 美元的成本抵消,主要是由于减少了药物和重复消融的需求。概率敏感性分析表明,在 74%的模拟中,ICER 低于 100,000 美元/QALY。
基于 CONFIRM 研究的数据,由于更高的质量调整生命年和更低的随访成本,FIRM 与 PVI 联合使用具有潜在的成本效益。价值对 AF 复发的增量减少敏感,FIRM 在 AF 症状严重程度较高的患者中具有最大的经济价值。正在进行的随机试验的结果将提供进一步的明确性。