Farm Technology Group, Wageningen University and Research, PO Box 16, Wageningen, 6700 AA, the Netherlands; Sensors and Data Analysis Department, Lely Innovation, Cornelis van der Lelylaan 1, Maassluis, 3147 PB, the Netherlands.
Animal Production Systems Group, Wageningen University and Research, PO Box 338, Wageningen, 6700 AH, the Netherlands.
J Dairy Sci. 2018 May;101(5):4448-4459. doi: 10.3168/jds.2017-13094. Epub 2018 Feb 22.
The objectives of this study were to quantify the error of body weight prediction using automatically measured morphological traits in a 3-dimensional (3-D) vision system and to assess the influence of various sources of uncertainty on body weight prediction. In this case study, an image acquisition setup was created in a cow selection box equipped with a top-view 3-D camera. Morphological traits of hip height, hip width, and rump length were automatically extracted from the raw 3-D images taken of the rump area of dairy cows (n = 30). These traits combined with days in milk, age, and parity were used in multiple linear regression models to predict body weight. To find the best prediction model, an exhaustive feature selection algorithm was used to build intermediate models (n = 63). Each model was validated by leave-one-out cross-validation, giving the root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error. The model consisting of hip width (measurement variability of 0.006 m), days in milk, and parity was the best model, with the lowest errors of 41.2 kg of root mean square error and 5.2% mean absolute percentage error. Our integrated system, including the image acquisition setup, image analysis, and the best prediction model, predicted the body weights with a performance similar to that achieved using semi-automated or manual methods. Moreover, the variability of our simplified morphological trait measurement showed a negligible contribution to the uncertainty of body weight prediction. We suggest that dairy cow body weight prediction can be improved by incorporating more predictive morphological traits and by improving the prediction model structure.
本研究的目的是量化三维(3D)视觉系统中自动测量的形态特征在预测体重时的误差,并评估各种不确定性源对体重预测的影响。在本案例研究中,在配备顶视图 3D 摄像机的牛选择箱中创建了图像采集设置。从奶牛臀部区域拍摄的原始 3D 图像中自动提取臀高、臀宽和臀部长度等形态特征(n=30)。这些特征与产奶天数、年龄和胎次一起用于多元线性回归模型中以预测体重。为了找到最佳预测模型,使用详尽的特征选择算法构建中间模型(n=63)。通过留一法交叉验证对每个模型进行验证,给出均方根误差和平均绝对百分比误差。由臀宽(测量变异性为 0.006m)、产奶天数和胎次组成的模型是最佳模型,均方根误差最低为 41.2kg,平均绝对百分比误差为 5.2%。我们的集成系统包括图像采集设置、图像分析和最佳预测模型,其预测体重的性能与使用半自动或手动方法相当。此外,我们简化的形态特征测量的变异性对体重预测的不确定性几乎没有贡献。我们建议通过纳入更多预测形态特征和改进预测模型结构,可以提高奶牛体重预测的准确性。