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2003-2014 年暴露于 2001 年 9 月 11 日世界贸易中心恐怖袭击的救援和恢复工作人员与社区成员的死亡率。

Mortality among rescue and recovery workers and community members exposed to the September 11, 2001 World Trade Center terrorist attacks, 2003-2014.

机构信息

New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, 125 Worth Street, New York, NY 10013, United States.

New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, 125 Worth Street, New York, NY 10013, United States.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2018 May;163:270-279. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2018.01.004. Epub 2018 Feb 22.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Multiple chronic health conditions have been associated with exposure to the September 11, 2001 World Trade Center (WTC) terrorist attacks (9/11). We assessed whether excess deaths occurred during 2003-2014 among persons directly exposed to 9/11, and examined associations of 9/11-related exposures with mortality risk.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Deaths occurring in 2003-2014 among members of the World Trade Center Health Registry, a cohort of rescue/recovery workers and lower Manhattan community members who were exposed to 9/11, were identified via linkage to the National Death Index. Participants' overall levels of 9/11-related exposure were categorized as high, intermediate, or low. We calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMR) using New York City reference rates from 2003 to 2012. Proportional hazards were used to assess associations of 9/11-related exposures with mortality, accounting for age, sex, race/ethnicity and other potential confounders.

RESULTS

We identified 877 deaths among 29,280 rescue/recovery workers (3.0%) and 1694 deaths among 39,643 community members (4.3%) during 308,340 and 416,448 person-years of observation, respectively. The SMR for all causes of death was 0.69 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65-0.74] for rescue/recovery workers and 0.86 (95% CI 0.82-0.90) for community members. SMRs for diseases of the cardiovascular and respiratory systems were significantly lower than expected in both groups. SMRs for several other causes of death were significantly elevated, including suicide among rescue recovery workers (SMR 1.82, 95% CI 1.35-2.39), and brain malignancies (SMR 2.25, 95% CI 1.48-3.28) and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (SMR 1.79, 95% CI 1.24-2.50) among community members. Compared to low exposure, both intermediate [adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 1.36, 95% CI 1.10-1.67] and high (AHR 1.41, 95% CI 1.06-1.88) levels of 9/11-related exposure were significantly associated with all-cause mortality among rescue/recovery workers (p-value for trend 0.01). For community members, intermediate (AHR 1.13, 95% CI 1.01-1.27), but not high (AHR 1.14, 95% CI 0.94-1.39) exposure was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (p-value for trend 0.03). AHRs for associations of overall 9/11-related exposure with heart disease- and cancer-related mortality were similar in magnitude to those for all-cause mortality, but with 95% CIs crossing the null value.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall mortality was not elevated. Among specific causes of death that were significantly elevated, suicide among rescue/recovery workers is a plausible long-term consequence of 9/11 exposure, and is potentially preventable. Elevated mortality due to other causes, including non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and brain cancer, and small but statistically significant associations of 9/11-related exposures with all-cause mortality hazard warrant additional surveillance.

摘要

背景

多项慢性健康状况与 2001 年 9 月 11 日世界贸易中心(9/11)恐怖袭击事件的暴露有关。我们评估了在 2003 年至 2014 年期间,直接接触 9/11 的人员是否有超额死亡,并检查了与 9/11 相关的暴露与死亡率风险的关联。

材料和方法

通过与国家死亡指数链接,确定了 2003 年至 2014 年期间,世界贸易中心健康登记册的成员,救援/恢复工作者和下曼哈顿社区成员的死亡人数,这些成员接触到了 9/11。参与者的整体 9/11 相关暴露水平被归类为高、中、低。我们使用纽约市 2003 年至 2012 年的参考率计算标准化死亡率比(SMR)。使用比例风险评估与 9/11 相关暴露与死亡率的关联,同时考虑年龄、性别、种族/民族和其他潜在混杂因素。

结果

我们分别在 308340 和 416448 人年的观察中,确定了 29280 名救援/恢复工作者(3.0%)中的 877 例死亡和 39643 名社区成员(4.3%)中的 1694 例死亡。所有原因死亡率的 SMR 为救援/恢复工作者 0.69(95%置信区间[CI]0.65-0.74),社区成员 0.86(95% CI 0.82-0.90)。两组心血管和呼吸系统疾病的 SMR 均明显低于预期。其他几种死因的 SMR 显著升高,包括救援/恢复工作者自杀(SMR 1.82,95%CI 1.35-2.39),脑恶性肿瘤(SMR 2.25,95%CI 1.48-3.28)和社区成员的非霍奇金淋巴瘤(SMR 1.79,95%CI 1.24-2.50)。与低暴露相比,中暴露(调整后的危险比[AHR]1.36,95%CI 1.10-1.67)和高暴露(AHR 1.41,95%CI 1.06-1.88)与救援/恢复工作者的全因死亡率均显著相关(趋势检验 p 值<0.01)。对于社区成员,中暴露(AHR 1.13,95%CI 1.01-1.27),但高暴露(AHR 1.14,95%CI 0.94-1.39)与全因死亡率无显著关联(趋势检验 p 值=0.03)。与全因死亡率相似,与 9/11 相关暴露的整体关联与心脏病和癌症相关死亡率的 AHR 相当,但 95%CI 跨越了零值。

结论

总体死亡率没有升高。在显著升高的特定死因中,救援/恢复工作者的自杀是 9/11 暴露的一个潜在长期后果,而且是可以预防的。其他原因导致的死亡率升高,包括非霍奇金淋巴瘤和脑癌,以及与 9/11 相关暴露与全因死亡率风险的小但统计学上显著的关联,需要进一步监测。

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