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髋部骨折手术后死亡的可预防风险因素:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Preventable risk factors of mortality after hip fracture surgery: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Orthopedic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No.139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang 050051, PR China.

出版信息

Int J Surg. 2018 Apr;52:320-328. doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2018.02.061. Epub 2018 Mar 9.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Although many studies have reported risk factors of mortality following hip fracture surgery, the preventable risk factors of mortality following hip fracture surgery have not been well-identified. The aim of this study was to identify the preventable risk factors of mortality following hip fracture surgery.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Google scholar, and the Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) databases from January 1997 to March 2017 for studies reporting risk factors of mortality following hip fracture surgery. The primary outcomes assessed in this meta-analysis were time to surgery, residential status, smoking, cardiovascular disease, pulmonary disease, diabetes, and malignancy. All analyses were conducted using Stata/SE version 11.0 software.

RESULTS

Sixteen studies involving 25 349 patients meeting the inclusion criteria were included. Statistically significant associations between the mortality after hip fracture surgery and the risk factors, including the time to surgery (>2days/<2days) (odds ratio[OR] = 1.91; 95%CI, 1.14-3.18; P = 0.013), residential status (nursing home/home) (OR = 1.97; 95%CI, 1.02-3.78; P = 0.043), cardiovascular disease (OR = 1.14; 95%CI, 1.03-1.26; P = 0.012), pulmonary disease (OR = 1.52; 95%CI, 1.37-1.69; P < 0.001), diabetes (OR = 1.41; 95%CI, 1.19-1.67; P < 0.001), and malignancy (OR = 2.99, 95%CI, 1.14-7.83; P = 0.013) were established. However, the available data failed to demonstrate an association between the mortality, and time to surgery (>1day/<1day) (OR = 1.25; 95%CI, 0.93-1.66; P = 0.136) and smoking (OR = 0.89; 95%CI, 0.69-1.14; P = 0.340).

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis explicitly indicated that malignancy, nursing home residence, time to surgery (>2days/<2days), pulmonary disease, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease significantly increased the risk of mortality after hip fracture surgery. These preventable risk factors may be used to create algorithms that are more effective and pertinent to reduce the mortality following hip fracture surgery.

摘要

目的

尽管许多研究已经报道了髋部骨折手术后死亡的风险因素,但髋部骨折手术后死亡的可预防风险因素尚未得到很好的确定。本研究的目的是确定髋部骨折手术后死亡的可预防风险因素。

方法

我们检索了 1997 年 1 月至 2017 年 3 月期间 PubMed、Web of Science、Google Scholar 和中国国家知识基础设施(CNKI)数据库中报道髋部骨折手术后死亡风险因素的研究。本荟萃分析评估的主要结局指标为手术时间、居住状态、吸烟、心血管疾病、肺部疾病、糖尿病和恶性肿瘤。所有分析均使用 Stata/SE 版本 11.0 软件进行。

结果

纳入了符合纳入标准的 16 项研究,共 25349 例患者。统计学分析显示,髋部骨折手术后死亡率与以下风险因素显著相关,包括手术时间(>2 天/<2 天)(比值比[OR]1.91;95%置信区间,1.14-3.18;P=0.013)、居住状态(疗养院/家庭)(OR 1.97;95%置信区间,1.02-3.78;P=0.043)、心血管疾病(OR 1.14;95%置信区间,1.03-1.26;P=0.012)、肺部疾病(OR 1.52;95%置信区间,1.37-1.69;P<0.001)、糖尿病(OR 1.41;95%置信区间,1.19-1.67;P<0.001)和恶性肿瘤(OR 2.99;95%置信区间,1.14-7.83;P=0.013)。然而,可用数据未能表明死亡率与手术时间(>1 天/<1 天)(OR 1.25;95%置信区间,0.93-1.66;P=0.136)和吸烟(OR 0.89;95%置信区间,0.69-1.14;P=0.340)之间存在关联。

结论

本荟萃分析明确表明,恶性肿瘤、疗养院居住、手术时间(>2 天/<2 天)、肺部疾病、糖尿病和心血管疾病显著增加了髋部骨折手术后的死亡风险。这些可预防的风险因素可用于制定更有效和更相关的算法,以降低髋部骨折手术后的死亡率。

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