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术前改良体质量指数对预测术后 1 年死亡率的价值。

Value of Preoperative Modified Body Mass Index in Predicting Postoperative 1-Year Mortality.

机构信息

Interdepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82, Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, 463-707, Korea.

Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82, Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, 463-707, Korea.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2018 Mar 15;8(1):4614. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-22886-6.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-018-22886-6
PMID:29545522
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5854572/
Abstract

Serum albumin and conventional BMI (cBMI) are commonly used indices of malnutrition status. Because cBMI does not reflect fluid accumulation, modified body mass index (mBMI, serum albumin × cBMI) is a more accurate measure of malnutrition status. This study investigated the association between preoperative mBMI and postoperative 1-year mortality, in comparison with serum albumin and cBMI. Medical records of 80,969 adult patients who underwent surgical procedures in a tertiary care hospital between 1 January, 2011 and 31 December, 2015 were retrospectively reviewed. Postoperative 1-year mortality increased with reduction in cBMI, mBMI, and albumin separately (P < 0.001). When considering interaction between cBMI and albumin, albumin was the only significant factor of postoperative 1-year mortality [odds ratio: 0.377, 95% confidence interval (0.245-0.579), P < 0.001], while cBMI or interaction (cBMI * albumin) was not significant (P > 0.05). Adjusted area under the curve (AUC) was highest (0.885) in the overall model (cBMI + albumin + cBMI * albumin); adjusted AUC between mBMI and albumin did not differ significantly (P = 0.558). Low albumin is the strongest independent predictor of postoperative 1-year mortality among the three variables (albumin, cBMI, mBMI). Adding cBMI to albumin does not increase the validity of the AUC of albumin.

摘要

血清白蛋白和常规 BMI(cBMI)通常被用作营养不良状况的指标。由于 cBMI 不能反映液体蓄积,因此改良 BMI(mBMI,血清白蛋白×cBMI)是衡量营养不良状况的更准确指标。本研究比较了术前 mBMI 与术后 1 年死亡率的关系,并与血清白蛋白和 cBMI 进行了比较。回顾性分析了 2011 年 1 月 1 日至 2015 年 12 月 31 日期间在一家三级保健医院接受手术的 80969 名成年患者的病历。术后 1 年死亡率随着 cBMI、mBMI 和白蛋白的降低而增加(P<0.001)。当考虑 cBMI 和白蛋白之间的交互作用时,白蛋白是术后 1 年死亡率的唯一显著因素[比值比:0.377,95%置信区间(0.245-0.579),P<0.001],而 cBMI 或交互作用(cBMI白蛋白)则不显著(P>0.05)。总体模型(cBMI+白蛋白+cBMI白蛋白)的校正曲线下面积(AUC)最高(0.885);mBMI 和白蛋白之间的校正 AUC 差异无统计学意义(P=0.558)。在这三个变量(白蛋白、cBMI 和 mBMI)中,低白蛋白是术后 1 年死亡率的最强独立预测因子。在白蛋白中添加 cBMI 不会增加 AUC 的有效性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d757/5854572/10b8ff5fd5cb/41598_2018_22886_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d757/5854572/c333a757c240/41598_2018_22886_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d757/5854572/7a920275278a/41598_2018_22886_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d757/5854572/10b8ff5fd5cb/41598_2018_22886_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d757/5854572/c333a757c240/41598_2018_22886_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d757/5854572/7a920275278a/41598_2018_22886_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d757/5854572/10b8ff5fd5cb/41598_2018_22886_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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