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正常体重、超重、肥胖、重度肥胖、病态肥胖和超级肥胖患者全膝关节置换术与非手术治疗的成本效益比较:一个马尔可夫模型。

Cost-Effectiveness of Total Knee Arthroplasty vs Nonoperative Management in Normal, Overweight, Obese, Severely Obese, Morbidly Obese, and Super-Obese Patients: A Markov Model.

机构信息

Division of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada.

出版信息

J Arthroplasty. 2018 Jul;33(7S):S32-S38. doi: 10.1016/j.arth.2018.02.031. Epub 2018 Feb 14.

DOI:10.1016/j.arth.2018.02.031
PMID:29550168
Abstract

BACKGROUND

We estimated the cost-effectiveness of performing total knee arthroplasty (TKA) vs nonoperative management (NM) among 6 body mass index (BMI) cohorts.

METHODS

A Markov model was used to compare the cost-utility of TKA and NM in 6 BMI groups (nonobese [BMI 18.5-24.9], overweight [25-29.9], obese [30-34.9], severely obese [35-39.9], morbidly obese [40-49.9], and super-obese [50+] patients) over a 15-year period. Model parameters for transition probability (ie, revision, re-revision, death), utility, and costs were estimated from the literature. Direct medical costs but not indirect societal costs were included in the model. Costs and utilities were discounted 3% annually. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of TKA vs NM. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses of the model parameters were performed to determine the robustness of the model.

RESULTS

Over the 15-year period, the ICERs for the TKA vs NM for the different BMI categories were nonobese ($3317/quality-adjusted life years [QALYs]), overweight ($2837/QALY), obese ($2947/QALY), severely obese ($3536/QALY), morbidly obese ($5531/QALY), and super-obese ($11,878/QALY). The higher BMI groups tended to have higher incremental QALYs and also higher incremental costs. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis with an ICER threshold of $30,000/QALY showed that TKA would be cost-effective in 100% of simulations of patients with a BMI<50 and 99.16% of super-obese simulations.

CONCLUSION

While performing TKA on super-obese patients is more expensive, the substantial improvements in patient outcomes make it cost-effective. Therefore, withholding TKA care based on a BMI would lead to an unjustified loss of health-care access.

摘要

背景

我们评估了在 6 个体重指数(BMI)队列中进行全膝关节置换术(TKA)与非手术治疗(NM)的成本效益。

方法

使用马尔可夫模型比较了 6 个 BMI 组(非肥胖[BMI 18.5-24.9]、超重[25-29.9]、肥胖[30-34.9]、重度肥胖[35-39.9]、病态肥胖[40-49.9]和超级肥胖[50+]患者)在 15 年内 TKA 和 NM 的成本效用。通过文献估计模型参数的转移概率(即翻修、再次翻修、死亡)、效用和成本。模型中仅包含直接医疗成本,不包含间接社会成本。成本和效用按 3%的年率贴现。主要结果是 TKA 与 NM 的增量成本效益比(ICER)。对模型参数进行了单因素和概率敏感性分析,以确定模型的稳健性。

结果

在 15 年内,不同 BMI 类别中 TKA 与 NM 的 ICER 分别为非肥胖(3317 美元/QALY)、超重(2837 美元/QALY)、肥胖(2947 美元/QALY)、重度肥胖(3536 美元/QALY)、病态肥胖(5531 美元/QALY)和超级肥胖(11878 美元/QALY)。BMI 较高的组往往具有较高的增量 QALY 和增量成本。ICER 阈值为 30000 美元/QALY 的概率敏感性分析表明,在 BMI<50 的患者中,TKA 在 100%的模拟中具有成本效益,在超级肥胖患者的模拟中,99.16%具有成本效益。

结论

尽管对超级肥胖患者进行 TKA 手术的费用更高,但患者结局的显著改善使其具有成本效益。因此,基于 BMI 拒绝 TKA 治疗会导致不合理的医疗保健机会丧失。

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