School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK
Department of Wildlife, Fish and Conservation Biology, University of California, Davis, CA 95616-8571, USA.
Biol Lett. 2018 Mar;14(3). doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2017.0702.
The rapid decline in Arctic sea ice (ASI) extent, area and volume during recent decades is occurring before we can understand many of the mechanisms through which ASI interacts with biological processes both at sea and on land. As a consequence, our ability to predict and manage the effects of this enormous environmental change is limited, making this a Here, we propose a framework to study these effects, defining as those acting on life-history events of Arctic biota, and , where ASI acts upon biological systems through chains of events, normally involving other components of the physical system and/or biotic interactions. Given the breadth and complexity of ASI's effects on Arctic biota, Arctic research requires a truly multidisciplinary approach to address this issue. In the absence of effective global efforts to tackle anthropogenic global warming, ASI will likely continue to decrease, compromising the conservation of many ASI-related taxonomic groups and ecosystems. Mitigation actions will rely heavily on the knowledge acquired on the mechanisms and components involved with the biological effects of ASI.
近年来,北极海冰(ASI)的范围、面积和体积迅速减少,而我们还没有完全了解 ASI 与海洋和陆地生物过程相互作用的许多机制。因此,我们预测和管理这种巨大环境变化影响的能力受到限制,这是一个严重的问题。在这里,我们提出了一个研究这些影响的框架,将 ASI 对北极生物群的影响定义为那些对生命史事件产生影响的因素,而 ASI 通过通常涉及物理系统其他组成部分和/或生物相互作用的事件链对生物系统产生影响的因素。考虑到 ASI 对北极生物群的广泛而复杂的影响,北极研究需要采取真正的多学科方法来解决这个问题。在没有有效全球努力应对人为全球变暖的情况下,ASI 可能会继续减少,危及许多与 ASI 相关的分类群和生态系统的保护。缓解措施将在很大程度上依赖于在 ASI 对生物影响的机制和组成部分方面获得的知识。